{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4aa83888-349b-49ec-8407-e32043f1997c", "symbol": "UKGBPB", "name": "UBS MSCI United Kingdom UCITS ETF GBP acc", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.657, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.113, "architecture_energy": 88.67, "architecture_maturity": 37.223, "architecture_confidence": 68.57, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.6, "rotation_up": 84.12, "upward_expansion": 98.83, "deceleration": 39.14, "rotation_down": 9.27, "downward_expansion": 20.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 51.897334, 51.224273, 50.349095, 49.826817 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 52.400002, "trend_reference": 49.188834, "distance_from_trend": 0.065282, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 40.290468, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.300556, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.973441, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.090417, "excess_performance": -0.080474, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065282, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039757, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.300556, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057356, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.039734, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007646, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.090417, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.12645, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40009, "relative_activity": 2.036372, "balance": 2.12645, "dry_up": 1.505583, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019267, "annualized_volatility": 0.140851, "from_high_reference": -0.003992, "from_low_reference": 0.36129 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.188834, "fair_value_reference": 40.290468, "structural_low": 45.445, "invalidation": 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-5.809774, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.445271, "energy": 65.809237, "activity_lines": [ 50.234334, 49.804, 49.339714, 49.022323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 51.02, "volume": 18839, "typical_volume": 15803.35, "trend": 48.607667, "fair_value": 39.914923, "relative_strength": -3.341506, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.595338, "energy": 74.9926, "activity_lines": [ 50.574667, 50.096727, 49.529667, 49.189742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 51.630001, "volume": 5242, "typical_volume": 15746.85, "trend": 48.806334, "fair_value": 40.033544, "relative_strength": -2.003211, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.412176, "energy": 81.852817, "activity_lines": [ 51.033334, 50.449909, 49.774524, 49.384731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 52.27, "volume": 54232, "typical_volume": 17877.5, "trend": 49.011334, "fair_value": 40.161589, "relative_strength": -1.430124, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.015948, "energy": 85.307979, "activity_lines": [ 51.524, 50.848909, 50.065357, 49.608194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.400002, "volume": 40009, "typical_volume": 19647.2, "trend": 49.188834, "fair_value": 40.290468, "relative_strength": -3.973441, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.113387, "energy": 88.670315, "activity_lines": [ 51.897334, 51.224273, 50.349095, 49.826817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }