{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ab969cb-e578-49df-b5ab-502d2e78d7ec", "symbol": "GGRW", "name": "WisdomTree Glb Qual Div Growth", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.013, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.127, "architecture_energy": 74.422, "architecture_maturity": 57.005, "architecture_confidence": 71.691, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.23, "rotation_up": 67.53, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.03, "rotation_down": 23.03, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.249667, 36.01524, 35.453864, 34.95685 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 36.919998, "trend_reference": 34.434929, "distance_from_trend": 0.072167, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.215273, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.14604, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.660152, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.087764, "excess_performance": -0.083128, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.072167, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028344, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.14604, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.07093, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.056602, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015454, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.087764, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.235374, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 571, "relative_activity": 1.409355, "balance": 8.235374, "dry_up": 1.377268, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.012492, "annualized_volatility": 0.112801, "from_high_reference": -0.002027, "from_low_reference": 0.192274 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.434929, "fair_value_reference": 32.215273, "structural_low": 31.700071, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.004479, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.006687, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.037225, "worst_return": -0.020244, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.015132, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.04396, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.026001, "worst_return": 0.004262, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.030374, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.091287, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.030374, "worst_return": 0.030374, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.782275, "energy": 90.919785, "activity_lines": [ 35.892924, 35.622525, 34.955746, 34.571967 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.855, "volume": 375, "typical_volume": 338.05, "trend": 34.238926, "fair_value": 32.144774, "relative_strength": -5.387863, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.210872, "energy": 86.005654, "activity_lines": [ 35.911413, 35.708551, 35.097753, 34.682489 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.900002, "volume": 1083, "typical_volume": 376.6, "trend": 34.328481, "fair_value": 32.176067, "relative_strength": -5.692749, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.920394, "energy": 65.401645, "activity_lines": [ 35.922001, 35.778487, 35.233339, 34.789656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.919998, "volume": 571, "typical_volume": 405.15, "trend": 34.434929, "fair_value": 32.215273, "relative_strength": -5.660152, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.127066, "energy": 74.421851, "activity_lines": [ 36.249667, 36.01524, 35.453864, 34.95685 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }