{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4ab9a609-cc09-48f4-a640-6427156f5dcd",
    "symbol": "IOCT",
    "name": "INNOVATOR ETFS TRUST INTERNATIONAL DEVPD PWR BUFFER ETF-OCT",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 59.197,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.968,
    "architecture_energy": 82.109,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.681,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.941,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.6,
        "rotation_up": 76.06,
        "upward_expansion": 95.7,
        "deceleration": 40.73,
        "rotation_down": 16.56,
        "downward_expansion": 17.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        37.482267,
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        36.919208,
        36.593693
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 37.92,
    "trend_reference": 36.25179,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.046017,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.389612,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.208043,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.538599,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.052748,
    "excess_performance": -0.072876,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046017,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023363,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.208043,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012404,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045386,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010367,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052748,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.959152,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 26753,
      "relative_activity": 0.480026,
      "balance": 1.959152,
      "dry_up": 0.616607,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.012633,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.0858,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00184,
      "from_low_reference": 0.150835
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.25179,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.389612,
      "structural_low": 34.3686,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": 0.011074,
        "positive_rate": 0.694444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.694444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010112,
        "regime_survival": 0.888889,
        "best_return": 0.048896,
        "worst_return": -0.031178,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.031533,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
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        "worst_return": -0.037739,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041544,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.019094,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -3e-06,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 67883.1,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -4.094474,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 68319.15,
        "trend": 35.852527,
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        "relative_strength": -3.611817,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 31.103815,
        "relative_strength": -4.526648,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 69.171334,
        "energy": 70.649829,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 37.0496,
        "volume": 44139,
        "typical_volume": 65935.85,
        "trend": 36.013743,
        "fair_value": 31.173145,
        "relative_strength": -3.263129,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.119574,
        "energy": 63.254247,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.046033,
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          36.56183,
          36.318638
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.075,
        "volume": 29099,
        "typical_volume": 59269.5,
        "trend": 36.08415,
        "fair_value": 31.241926,
        "relative_strength": -2.533024,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.335151,
        "energy": 62.616091,
        "activity_lines": [
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          36.649447,
          36.387106
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.5337,
        "volume": 37469,
        "typical_volume": 56073.9,
        "trend": 36.167457,
        "fair_value": 31.314676,
        "relative_strength": -2.321767,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.39183,
        "energy": 69.89094,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.23632,
          37.083296,
          36.77206,
          36.480625
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.92,
        "volume": 26753,
        "typical_volume": 55732.4,
        "trend": 36.25179,
        "fair_value": 31.389612,
        "relative_strength": -4.538599,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.968217,
        "energy": 82.108901,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.482267,
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          36.593693
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}