{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4abd9571-9bc7-44b3-a54e-63b359b38d8f", "symbol": "ADVANC", "name": "Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 80.147, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.829, "architecture_energy": 58.322, "architecture_maturity": 11.335, "architecture_confidence": 73.656, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.5, "rotation_up": 67.72, "upward_expansion": 87.04, "deceleration": 45.07, "rotation_down": 13.03, "downward_expansion": 11.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 376.6, 372.836364, 366.257143, 364.174157 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 374.0, "trend_reference": 359.031962, "distance_from_trend": 0.04169, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 254.720491, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.468276, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.220994, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.099237, "excess_performance": -0.093088, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.04169, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079584, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.468276, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006136, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.00221, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01328, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.099237, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.626137, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46983700, "relative_activity": 1.703827, "balance": 0.626137, "dry_up": 1.298918, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034965, "annualized_volatility": 0.219113, "from_high_reference": -0.033592, "from_low_reference": 0.402872 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 359.031962, "fair_value_reference": 254.720491, "structural_low": 336.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": 0.01537, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.019318, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.117834, "worst_return": -0.071053, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.052716, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.063821, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.2589, "worst_return": -0.04386, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.10389, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.071272, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.290393, "worst_return": -0.140882, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-24", "close": 376.0, "volume": 34392400, "typical_volume": 27605475.0, "trend": 353.567068, "fair_value": 252.284118, "relative_strength": -1.183437, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.545894, "energy": 66.456891, "activity_lines": [ 374.466667, 368.818182, 363.5, 361.340307 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 380.0, "volume": 24907000, "typical_volume": 27058330.0, "trend": 356.508266, "fair_value": 253.513456, "relative_strength": 0.839409, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.064728, "energy": 66.519178, "activity_lines": [ 377.466667, 371.6, 365.204762, 363.045658 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 374.0, "volume": 46983700, "typical_volume": 27575390.0, "trend": 359.031962, "fair_value": 254.720491, "relative_strength": -0.220994, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.829189, "energy": 58.322105, "activity_lines": [ 376.6, 372.836364, 366.257143, 364.174157 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }