{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ac1b83f-5465-46f5-bba1-787390e12a5f", "symbol": "VMT", "name": "Vmoto Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.773, "architecture_energy": 21.316, "architecture_maturity": 49.62, "architecture_confidence": 87.495, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.21, "rotation_up": 34.88, "upward_expansion": 53.54, "deceleration": 71.0, "rotation_down": 24.19, "downward_expansion": 24.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.113667, 0.113909, 0.113971, 0.106615 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.115, "trend_reference": 0.096167, "distance_from_trend": 0.195841, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.111478, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.031598, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 28.754795, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.493506, "excess_performance": 0.429801, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.195841, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171336, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.031598, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048688, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.287548, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.286015, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.493506, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.684043, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 389335, "relative_activity": 0.617646, "balance": 3.684043, "dry_up": 0.350166, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098662, "annualized_volatility": 0.622805, "from_high_reference": -0.30303, "from_low_reference": 0.982759 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.096167, "fair_value_reference": 0.111478, "structural_low": 0.058, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.000924, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": 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"2026-07-17", "close": 0.12, "volume": 202766, "typical_volume": 666069.35, "trend": 0.092133, "fair_value": 0.113497, "relative_strength": 44.937604, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.947046, "energy": 32.586913, "activity_lines": [ 0.117, 0.116364, 0.11201, 0.103092 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.11, "volume": 162257, "typical_volume": 623170.7, "trend": 0.0935, "fair_value": 0.11276, "relative_strength": 32.24142, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.427691, "energy": 31.339206, "activity_lines": [ 0.115333, 0.115, 0.112738, 0.104245 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.11, "volume": 128554, "typical_volume": 628092.6, "trend": 0.094767, "fair_value": 0.112119, "relative_strength": 28.233763, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.680872, "energy": 24.08472, "activity_lines": [ 0.113667, 0.113818, 0.113233, 0.10531 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.115, "volume": 389335, "typical_volume": 630353.0, "trend": 0.096167, "fair_value": 0.111478, "relative_strength": 28.754795, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.773026, "energy": 21.315586, "activity_lines": [ 0.113667, 0.113909, 0.113971, 0.106615 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }