{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4add1b97-469b-4b9f-badc-e819965bc39a", "symbol": "PIMO", "name": "Pioneer Motor Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 86.008, "architecture_energy": 90.142, "architecture_maturity": 36.041, "architecture_confidence": 71.422, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.33, "rotation_up": 83.48, "upward_expansion": 95.91, "deceleration": 42.96, "rotation_down": 9.33, "downward_expansion": 20.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.168667, 1.139273, 1.10091, 1.074256 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.2, "trend_reference": 1.043009, "distance_from_trend": 0.150518, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.23151, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.025587, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.644412, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.243826, "excess_performance": 0.051501, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.150518, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047729, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.025587, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165279, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.006444, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.152832, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.243826, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.800287, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2323700, "relative_activity": 1.863141, "balance": 7.800287, "dry_up": 2.199035, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030769, "annualized_volatility": 0.20667, "from_high_reference": -0.008264, "from_low_reference": 0.282697 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.043009, "fair_value_reference": 1.23151, "structural_low": 0.935529, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.02849, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.003661, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.177143, "worst_return": -0.18932, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.04423, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.02241, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.010683, "worst_return": -0.077777, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.218306, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.277212, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.20183, "worst_return": -0.234783, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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1.090364, 1.061662, 1.044275 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.17, "volume": 4040900, "typical_volume": 1211650.0, "trend": 1.028318, "fair_value": 1.234827, "relative_strength": -4.201326, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.954295, "energy": 69.32489, "activity_lines": [ 1.122667, 1.106545, 1.074406, 1.053836 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.18, "volume": 1276900, "typical_volume": 1188230.0, "trend": 1.035167, "fair_value": 1.232796, "relative_strength": -1.908935, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.528659, "energy": 86.249741, "activity_lines": [ 1.144667, 1.122364, 1.087172, 1.063622 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.2, "volume": 2323700, "typical_volume": 1247195.0, "trend": 1.043009, "fair_value": 1.23151, "relative_strength": 0.644412, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.008069, "energy": 90.142211, "activity_lines": [ 1.168667, 1.139273, 1.10091, 1.074256 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }