{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ae05fc5-5663-4e25-83a7-17ece56b38c5", "symbol": "ZAM", "name": "Zambeef Products PLC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.21, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.506, "architecture_energy": 47.283, "architecture_maturity": 26.066, "architecture_confidence": 84.645, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.19, "rotation_up": 55.75, "upward_expansion": 76.95, "deceleration": 54.43, "rotation_down": 12.44, "downward_expansion": 8.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.050567, 0.049586, 0.049313, 0.048734 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.0525, "trend_reference": 0.047692, "distance_from_trend": 0.100821, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.049498, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.060654, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.202559, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.179775, "excess_performance": 0.12854, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.100821, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011131, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.060654, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059226, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.032026, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049229, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.179775, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.384333, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1060381, "relative_activity": 3.166483, "balance": 1.384333, "dry_up": 1.228907, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067766, "annualized_volatility": 0.242641, "from_high_reference": -0.0625, "from_low_reference": 0.5 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.047692, "fair_value_reference": 0.049498, "structural_low": 0.037, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.013807, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.21519, "worst_return": -0.154717, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.032388, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.07709, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.241379, "worst_return": -0.267925, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.065217, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.102931, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.113924, "worst_return": -0.342857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.242553, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.30313, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.111111, "worst_return": -0.342857, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.013825, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.0375, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.025641, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.05, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.039474, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.21519, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.020833, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.040816, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.106383, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", 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"gate": "up", "direction": 13.830444, "energy": 9.835152, "activity_lines": [ 0.048167, 0.048364, 0.048648, 0.047928 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.0485, "volume": 158930, "typical_volume": 278553.35, "trend": 0.047317, "fair_value": 0.049781, "relative_strength": -0.31775, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.02069, "energy": 7.444581, "activity_lines": [ 0.0483, 0.048309, 0.048695, 0.048008 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0485, "volume": 182049, "typical_volume": 279467.8, "trend": 0.047333, "fair_value": 0.049724, "relative_strength": -1.430151, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.138704, "energy": 12.905949, "activity_lines": [ 0.048433, 0.0483, 0.048721, 0.048084 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0485, "volume": 58992, "typical_volume": 274852.0, "trend": 0.04735, "fair_value": 0.049634, "relative_strength": -2.818221, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.543077, "energy": 13.201007, "activity_lines": [ 0.0485, 0.048336, 0.048729, 0.048159 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.05125, "volume": 344707, "typical_volume": 288396.65, "trend": 0.047492, "fair_value": 0.049562, "relative_strength": 1.225771, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.150306, "energy": 28.83774, "activity_lines": [ 0.049417, 0.048873, 0.048976, 0.048411 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0525, "volume": 1060381, "typical_volume": 334876.6, "trend": 0.047692, "fair_value": 0.049498, "relative_strength": 3.202559, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.506443, "energy": 47.283282, "activity_lines": [ 0.050567, 0.049586, 0.049313, 0.048734 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }