{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ae73f69-7f5c-4272-8157-3a4f2fd62d09", "symbol": "300371", "name": "Huizhong Instrumentation Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.404, "architecture_energy": 56.477, "architecture_maturity": 47.883, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 21.68, "upward_expansion": 9.42, "deceleration": 58.54, "rotation_down": 59.07, "downward_expansion": 82.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.65, 9.829012, 10.674971, 11.325977 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.13, "trend_reference": 12.139185, "distance_from_trend": -0.165512, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.15908, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.092219, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.43282, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.274875, "excess_performance": -0.282274, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.165512, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066647, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.092219, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.291872, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.224328, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083945, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.274875, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.321517, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14936567, "relative_activity": 1.270073, "balance": 0.321517, "dry_up": 1.169982, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095765, "annualized_volatility": 0.346902, "from_high_reference": -0.335738, "from_low_reference": 0.163031 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.139185, "fair_value_reference": 11.15908, "structural_low": 8.71, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.012987, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.02216, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.260054, "worst_return": -0.289147, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.071849, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.055014, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.167884, "worst_return": -0.1525, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.246598, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.166729, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.41998, "worst_return": -0.278279, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 9.93, "volume": 11258590, "typical_volume": 12580448.8, "trend": 12.515852, "fair_value": 11.248598, "relative_strength": -30.588898, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.490429, "energy": 86.839848, "activity_lines": [ 10.155333, 10.701604, 11.53941, 12.056326 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.48, "volume": 10803791, "typical_volume": 12552992.5, "trend": 12.428185, "fair_value": 11.227704, "relative_strength": -26.440386, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.906655, "energy": 85.518301, "activity_lines": [ 9.889333, 10.364767, 11.282717, 11.860465 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.99, "volume": 17302264, "typical_volume": 12384602.7, "trend": 12.315852, "fair_value": 11.203981, "relative_strength": -29.854019, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.266296, "energy": 74.60727, "activity_lines": [ 9.548667, 10.01328, 11.002595, 11.638646 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.56, "volume": 11995176, "typical_volume": 11962255.25, "trend": 12.220518, "fair_value": 11.179984, "relative_strength": -23.58628, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.407867, "energy": 63.378666, "activity_lines": [ 9.494, 9.840312, 10.800664, 11.460849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.13, "volume": 14936567, "typical_volume": 11760396.9, "trend": 12.139185, "fair_value": 11.15908, "relative_strength": -22.43282, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.403708, "energy": 56.477159, "activity_lines": [ 9.65, 9.829012, 10.674971, 11.325977 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }