{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ae78705-4801-4ed1-825e-fd576de7c729", "symbol": "ALFRE", "name": "Freelance.com SA", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.847, "architecture_energy": 38.166, "architecture_maturity": 74.837, "architecture_confidence": 87.11, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.86, "rotation_up": 34.11, "upward_expansion": 67.36, "deceleration": 88.12, "rotation_down": 27.66, "downward_expansion": 19.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.582667, 2.619711, 2.477426, 2.374677 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.5, "trend_reference": 2.299901, "distance_from_trend": 0.087003, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.698702, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.073629, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.981185, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.072961, "excess_performance": 0.01965, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087003, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078812, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.073629, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.259934, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.039812, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.162858, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.072961, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.729431, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30084, "relative_activity": 0.789115, "balance": 5.729431, "dry_up": 0.345448, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05816, "annualized_volatility": 0.410299, "from_high_reference": -0.097473, "from_low_reference": 0.370656 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.299901, "fair_value_reference": 2.698702, "structural_low": 1.823944, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.036364, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.042294, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.155822, "worst_return": -0.188679, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.131807, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.075572, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.222603, "worst_return": -0.27972, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.16097, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.078357, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.404109, "worst_return": -0.255944, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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2.512691, 2.308999, 2.263785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.7, "volume": 26123, "typical_volume": 47887.2, "trend": 2.249235, "fair_value": 2.75861, "relative_strength": 17.578962, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.355261, "energy": 87.853095, "activity_lines": [ 2.699568, 2.574231, 2.356727, 2.294136 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.58, "volume": 9267, "typical_volume": 44475.35, "trend": 2.263568, "fair_value": 2.743105, "relative_strength": 12.284911, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.331925, "energy": 81.580589, "activity_lines": [ 2.667333, 2.601507, 2.390646, 2.315476 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.62, "volume": 5119, "typical_volume": 42039.1, "trend": 2.277568, "fair_value": 2.727977, "relative_strength": 13.416609, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.954165, "energy": 63.148801, "activity_lines": [ 2.646667, 2.624631, 2.426136, 2.338471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.63, "volume": 8209, "typical_volume": 40232.25, "trend": 2.291235, "fair_value": 2.713274, "relative_strength": 11.957777, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.702125, "energy": 54.707515, "activity_lines": [ 2.632667, 2.638083, 2.45977, 2.361209 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.5, "volume": 30084, "typical_volume": 38123.7, "trend": 2.299901, "fair_value": 2.698702, "relative_strength": 3.981185, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.8465, "energy": 38.166246, "activity_lines": [ 2.582667, 2.619711, 2.477426, 2.374677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }