{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ae96408-0d5a-4e8f-8651-e64770dda06a", "symbol": "K6S", "name": "Prudential plc", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 27.463, "architecture_energy": 36.278, "architecture_maturity": 22.218, "architecture_confidence": 45.248, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.41, "rotation_up": 33.55, "upward_expansion": 63.43, "deceleration": 53.07, "rotation_down": 19.44, "downward_expansion": 20.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.2, 14.145455, 14.275714, 14.143536 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 14.2, "trend_reference": 13.994447, "distance_from_trend": 0.014688, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.376187, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.368518, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.403358, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.033755, "excess_performance": -0.12108, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014688, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023314, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.368518, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21468, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.084034, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.303596, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.033755, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014085, "annualized_volatility": 0.350896, "from_high_reference": -0.101266, "from_low_reference": 0.58837 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.994447, "fair_value_reference": 10.376187, "structural_low": 12.460599, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range 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210.0, "trend": 13.500954, "fair_value": 10.018245, "relative_strength": 17.409665, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.672586, "energy": 90.750719, "activity_lines": [ 15.42, 14.597851, 14.081241, 13.858084 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 15.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 210.0, "trend": 13.615453, "fair_value": 10.05669, "relative_strength": 15.024347, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.206204, "energy": 89.809603, "activity_lines": [ 15.48, 14.88292, 14.239227, 13.987055 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 13.87, "volume": 1100, "typical_volume": 265.0, "trend": 13.675619, "fair_value": 10.084686, "relative_strength": 3.284196, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.03434, "energy": 59.614621, "activity_lines": [ 14.97, 14.816364, 14.232117, 14.003477 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 13.7, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 280.0, "trend": 13.720229, "fair_value": 10.111593, "relative_strength": 1.527812, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.16683, "energy": 26.77301, "activity_lines": [ 14.485333, 14.693273, 14.206719, 14.00505 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 13.7, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 280.0, "trend": 13.748357, "fair_value": 10.138499, "relative_strength": 1.788868, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.27244, "energy": 32.993155, "activity_lines": [ 14.094, 14.550182, 14.181495, 14.003745 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 13.7, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 280.0, "trend": 13.776484, "fair_value": 10.165406, "relative_strength": -1.627474, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.507729, "energy": 37.310189, "activity_lines": [ 13.842667, 14.387091, 14.156444, 14.000625 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 14.2, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 280.0, "trend": 13.821278, "fair_value": 10.195517, "relative_strength": 1.724749, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.471423, "energy": 33.304259, "activity_lines": [ 13.878, 14.294909, 14.179185, 14.027949 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 14.2, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 200.0, "trend": 13.866073, "fair_value": 10.225629, "relative_strength": 0.451485, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.166706, "energy": 23.610044, "activity_lines": [ 14.0, 14.219091, 14.199718, 14.052382 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 14.2, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 200.0, "trend": 13.891747, "fair_value": 10.255741, "relative_strength": -3.876083, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.006653, "energy": 11.596316, "activity_lines": [ 14.1, 14.159636, 14.218937, 14.073926 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.2, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 200.0, "trend": 13.917422, "fair_value": 10.285852, "relative_strength": -4.794488, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.867203, "energy": 20.986959, "activity_lines": [ 14.166667, 14.116545, 14.236844, 14.093813 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.2, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 200.0, "trend": 13.943097, "fair_value": 10.315964, "relative_strength": -6.35383, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.458105, "energy": 23.523749, "activity_lines": [ 14.2, 14.102545, 14.253437, 14.112044 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.2, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 195.0, "trend": 13.968772, "fair_value": 10.346075, "relative_strength": -7.138367, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.343334, "energy": 27.748682, "activity_lines": [ 14.2, 14.112182, 14.268717, 14.128619 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.2, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 195.0, "trend": 13.994447, "fair_value": 10.376187, "relative_strength": -8.403358, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.463177, "energy": 36.277972, "activity_lines": [ 14.2, 14.145455, 14.275714, 14.143536 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }