{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4af5688e-96a8-4fa4-b635-a72736c4a346", "symbol": "603363", "name": "Fujian Aonong Biological Technology Group Incorporation Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.154, "architecture_energy": 54.87, "architecture_maturity": 80.216, "architecture_confidence": 94.704, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.41, "rotation_up": 28.45, "upward_expansion": 9.79, "deceleration": 49.38, "rotation_down": 45.32, "downward_expansion": 78.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.792, 2.804727, 2.988286, 3.232409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.83, "trend_reference": 3.560333, "distance_from_trend": -0.205131, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.542308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.376969, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.406282, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.350917, "excess_performance": -0.307714, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.205131, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164241, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.376969, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018547, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.304063, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000118, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.350917, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.726487, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 115506592, "relative_activity": 0.6105, "balance": 0.726487, "dry_up": 0.748777, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086708, "annualized_volatility": 0.440241, "from_high_reference": -0.543548, "from_low_reference": 0.088462 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.560333, "fair_value_reference": 4.542308, "structural_low": 2.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.031746, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.027209, "regime_survival": 0.923077, "best_return": 0.506897, "worst_return": -0.496528, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.135143, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.154444, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.195865, "worst_return": -0.339552, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.154501, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.187065, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.680087, "worst_return": -0.55303, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -30.068098, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.396387, "energy": 58.475117, "activity_lines": [ 2.822667, 2.894364, 3.155905, 3.409484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.67, "volume": 142430669, "typical_volume": 221436653.6, "trend": 3.68, "fair_value": 4.625833, "relative_strength": -33.045829, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.180101, "energy": 63.010718, "activity_lines": [ 2.776, 2.832727, 3.082762, 3.339484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.81, "volume": 106348647, "typical_volume": 202743236.85, "trend": 3.619667, "fair_value": 4.584744, "relative_strength": -29.402963, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.8214, "energy": 57.125105, "activity_lines": [ 2.786667, 2.811636, 3.030952, 3.283355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.83, "volume": 115506592, "typical_volume": 189199958.4, "trend": 3.560333, "fair_value": 4.542308, "relative_strength": -30.406282, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.153788, "energy": 54.869524, "activity_lines": [ 2.792, 2.804727, 2.988286, 3.232409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }