{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4af86c43-a6db-45ed-bd8b-1287feccca88", "symbol": "PLTD", "name": "T-REX 2X INVERSE PLTR DAILY TARGET ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 93.155, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -36.648, "architecture_energy": 28.108, "architecture_maturity": 22.569, "architecture_confidence": 61.158, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.9, "rotation_up": 21.0, "upward_expansion": 19.25, "deceleration": 55.89, "rotation_down": 57.25, "downward_expansion": 37.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.221333, 7.675874, 7.751674, 7.751005 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 5.34, "trend_reference": 7.72735, "distance_from_trend": -0.308948, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.084323, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.470465, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.474859, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.355352, "excess_performance": -0.542806, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.308948, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058124, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.470465, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.212215, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.364749, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.205314, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.355352, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.866362, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 203212163, "relative_activity": 0.920054, "balance": 0.866362, "dry_up": 0.938779, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.21007, "annualized_volatility": 0.819459, "from_high_reference": -0.451142, "from_low_reference": 0.003741 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.72735, "fair_value_reference": 10.084323, "structural_low": 5.3201, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.127342, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.036432, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 22.283042, "volume": 74384, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }