{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4afbe3c2-d534-4fe2-9a0b-15a5c6a3e012", "symbol": "7383", "name": "Net Protections Holdings, Inc.", "exchange": "JPX", "country": "JP", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 33.252, "architecture_energy": 61.621, "architecture_maturity": 10.936, "architecture_confidence": 63.069, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.72, "rotation_up": 75.21, "upward_expansion": 56.76, "deceleration": 16.95, "rotation_down": 14.04, "downward_expansion": 27.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 450.466667, 425.618182, 404.919048, 407.419355 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 455.0, "trend_reference": 418.7, "distance_from_trend": 0.086697, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 421.878205, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.07851, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -33.00474, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.109589, "excess_performance": -0.271323, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086697, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11104, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.07851, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.148541, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.330047, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.199651, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.109589, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.657338, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8491700, "relative_activity": 2.802578, "balance": 0.657338, "dry_up": 1.437923, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069146, "annualized_volatility": 0.594378, "from_high_reference": -0.522059, "from_low_reference": 0.387195 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 418.7, "fair_value_reference": 421.878205, "structural_low": 328.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.285171, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.324078, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.285171, "worst_return": 0.285171, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.676806, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.661562, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.676806, "worst_return": 0.676806, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.855513, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.826962, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.855513, "worst_return": 0.855513, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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424.433333, "fair_value": 420.455128, "relative_strength": -36.160195, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.438369, "energy": 44.156814, "activity_lines": [ 426.8, 399.618182, 393.37619, 402.896774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 461.0, "volume": 2605100, "typical_volume": 2897470.0, "trend": 421.466667, "fair_value": 421.224359, "relative_strength": -36.436311, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.923498, "energy": 54.816964, "activity_lines": [ 442.6, 414.127273, 399.671429, 405.255914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 455.0, "volume": 8491700, "typical_volume": 3029960.0, "trend": 418.7, "fair_value": 421.878205, "relative_strength": -33.00474, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.252004, "energy": 61.620553, "activity_lines": [ 450.466667, 425.618182, 404.919048, 407.419355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }