{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4afc18ad-00d6-4d37-b254-3306e371235f", "symbol": "139260", "name": "Mirae Asset TIGER IT ETF", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 81.364, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -6.488, "architecture_energy": 26.011, "architecture_maturity": 61.769, "architecture_confidence": 73.566, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.39, "rotation_up": 14.04, "upward_expansion": 42.55, "deceleration": 87.97, "rotation_down": 49.11, "downward_expansion": 36.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 130191.332292, 147871.45, 150451.283594, 137518.078159 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 120050.0, "trend_reference": 118907.567708, "distance_from_trend": 0.009608, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 49369.004094, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.431688, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 26.109766, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.689289, "excess_performance": 0.45946, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.009608, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.423527, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.431688, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.085922, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.261098, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.187813, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.689289, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.695031, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3213524, "relative_activity": 0.69004, "balance": 0.695031, "dry_up": 1.155726, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.227202, "annualized_volatility": 0.726366, "from_high_reference": -0.437085, "from_low_reference": 2.847071 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 118907.567708, "fair_value_reference": 49369.004094, "structural_low": 72602.716585, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.009454, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.012548, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.088828, "worst_return": -0.065791, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.020327, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.007209, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.017856, "worst_return": -0.107844, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.077122, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.033219, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.002833, "worst_return": -0.151411, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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152611.381436, 134989.706124 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 132343.234375, "volume": 3750962, "typical_volume": 4391310.4, "trend": 114605.235547, "fair_value": 48156.828651, "relative_strength": 33.228525, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.239796, "energy": 27.697102, "activity_lines": [ 149145.460417, 163282.332955, 152584.875818, 136302.223043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 130390.0, "volume": 6165673, "typical_volume": 4592204.4, "trend": 116989.010156, "fair_value": 48794.825997, "relative_strength": 31.496719, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.823331, "energy": 25.515576, "activity_lines": [ 139414.841667, 156296.346023, 152131.934821, 137320.594943 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 120050.0, "volume": 3213524, "typical_volume": 4657008.65, "trend": 118907.567708, "fair_value": 49369.004094, "relative_strength": 26.109766, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -6.488149, "energy": 26.011356, "activity_lines": [ 130191.332292, 147871.45, 150451.283594, 137518.078159 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }