{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4afd13bc-34bf-40fc-9bcb-1f93087ad08b", "symbol": "600720", "name": "CCCC Design & Consulting Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.981, "architecture_energy": 53.602, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 66.799, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.15, "rotation_up": 27.86, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 67.0, "rotation_down": 42.31, "downward_expansion": 70.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.166348, 5.124669, 5.517465, 5.896986 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.2, "trend_reference": 6.381103, "distance_from_trend": -0.185094, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.280461, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.372016, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.331913, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.298246, "excess_performance": -0.255042, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.185094, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106538, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.372016, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.137416, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.243319, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054997, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.298246, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.306362, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56631826, "relative_activity": 1.608395, "balance": 0.306362, "dry_up": 1.540148, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061139, "annualized_volatility": 0.234811, "from_high_reference": -0.352428, "from_low_reference": 0.098143 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.381103, "fair_value_reference": 8.280461, "structural_low": 4.735265, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.016868, "positive_rate": 0.53125, "directional_follow_through": 0.46875, "median_excess_return": 0.001202, "regime_survival": 0.78125, "best_return": 0.215666, "worst_return": -0.206317, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.014014, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.060315, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.173536, "worst_return": -0.247967, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.016089, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.097006, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.128128, "worst_return": -0.258021, "sufficient": true }, 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"date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.3, "volume": 43516917, "typical_volume": 34858691.7, "trend": 6.448436, "fair_value": 8.315003, "relative_strength": -21.491336, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.097012, "energy": 63.646574, "activity_lines": [ 5.11763, 5.139815, 5.594527, 5.97753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.2, "volume": 56631826, "typical_volume": 35210152.2, "trend": 6.381103, "fair_value": 8.280461, "relative_strength": -24.331913, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.981321, "energy": 53.602097, "activity_lines": [ 5.166348, 5.124669, 5.517465, 5.896986 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }