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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.658, "architecture_energy": 60.727, "architecture_maturity": 89.735, "architecture_confidence": 83.526, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.9, "rotation_up": 58.17, "upward_expansion": 83.29, "deceleration": 68.66, "rotation_down": 24.69, "downward_expansion": 9.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 188.133333, 181.740601, 152.491998, 133.771065 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 207.5, "trend_reference": 112.233921, "distance_from_trend": 0.848817, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 58.992222, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.517413, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 91.210571, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.836759, "excess_performance": 1.395387, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.848817, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.507127, "read": "Rising" 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133.192979, 117.961467 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 159.5, "volume": 367555363, "typical_volume": 383456886.55, "trend": 102.994878, "fair_value": 57.315397, "relative_strength": 63.532552, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.350274, "energy": 63.760658, "activity_lines": [ 177.57023, 166.266965, 137.614524, 121.826907 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 188.0, "volume": 504408782, "typical_volume": 385150356.8, "trend": 107.370674, "fair_value": 58.091924, "relative_strength": 83.937525, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.659506, "energy": 61.41746, "activity_lines": [ 179.333333, 173.052613, 144.386539, 127.311109 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 207.5, "volume": 534064911, "typical_volume": 397366378.3, "trend": 112.233921, "fair_value": 58.992222, "relative_strength": 91.210571, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.658291, "energy": 60.727141, "activity_lines": [ 188.133333, 181.740601, 152.491998, 133.771065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }