{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4b100a62-7ef9-4772-8aa6-fac299e2cfef",
    "symbol": "3152",
    "name": "Advanced Ceramic X Corporation",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 94.575,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -36.747,
    "architecture_energy": 61.165,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.51,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.675,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.52,
        "rotation_up": 16.63,
        "upward_expansion": 21.53,
        "deceleration": 43.52,
        "rotation_down": 71.05,
        "downward_expansion": 63.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        220.66555,
        243.859626,
        271.432541,
        272.243507
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 225.0,
    "trend_reference": 270.71712,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.168874,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 275.44868,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.183151,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -33.190531,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.075727,
    "excess_performance": -0.517099,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.168874,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082219,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.183151,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.180429,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.331905,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.190447,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.075727,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.430513,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 577825,
      "relative_activity": 0.163437,
      "balance": 1.430513,
      "dry_up": 0.206226,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.191895,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.645828,
      "from_high_reference": -0.43212,
      "from_low_reference": 0.270328
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 270.71712,
      "fair_value_reference": 275.44868,
      "structural_low": 197.262527,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.084445,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055226,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.159836,
        "worst_return": 0.037862,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.144454,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040086,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.28,
        "worst_return": 0.008909,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.197259,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.174679,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.613333,
        "worst_return": -0.218814,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.223369,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.498692,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.223369,
        "worst_return": -0.223369,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.175396,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.002747,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.084033,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009434,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.240805,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.132143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.029787,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.084445,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.045902,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.151079,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.054875,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006479,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050292,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
        "close": 299.265442,
        "volume": 287180,
        "typical_volume": 421895.65,
        "trend": 330.92689,
        "fair_value": 467.321356,
        "relative_strength": -9.51308,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": -30.924825,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 3558702.25,
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        "relative_strength": -32.386536,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.26677,
        "energy": 39.128502,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 214.226135,
        "volume": 863746,
        "typical_volume": 3552484.35,
        "trend": 271.927593,
        "fair_value": 276.635317,
        "relative_strength": -33.663732,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.746244,
        "energy": 59.151713,
        "activity_lines": [
          229.9619,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 218.0,
        "volume": 806733,
        "typical_volume": 3546076.2,
        "trend": 271.135737,
        "fair_value": 275.987529,
        "relative_strength": -33.565148,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.950826,
        "energy": 62.072357,
        "activity_lines": [
          222.075662,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 225.0,
        "volume": 577825,
        "typical_volume": 3535466.0,
        "trend": 270.71712,
        "fair_value": 275.44868,
        "relative_strength": -33.190531,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.747295,
        "energy": 61.16516,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}