{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4b1488e5-339c-4a25-9923-f01b14af12b1",
    "symbol": "CCO",
    "name": "Cameco Corporation",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 66.221,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.667,
    "architecture_energy": 73.598,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.532,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.042,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.43,
        "rotation_up": 10.56,
        "upward_expansion": 16.77,
        "deceleration": 37.52,
        "rotation_down": 74.3,
        "downward_expansion": 92.44
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        127.377335,
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        140.183668,
        144.390216
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 135.860001,
    "trend_reference": 149.980001,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.094146,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 90.786347,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.496481,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -11.962683,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.124501,
    "excess_performance": -0.244922,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.094146,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019992,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.496481,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.439612,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.119627,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.258049,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124501,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.619898,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4472000,
      "relative_activity": 1.222182,
      "balance": 0.619898,
      "dry_up": 1.557728,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.088071,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.405543,
      "from_high_reference": -0.256458,
      "from_low_reference": 0.423887
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 149.980001,
      "fair_value_reference": 90.786347,
      "structural_low": 116.449997,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.205462,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.130172,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": 0.035108,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.340594,
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        "worst_return": 0.153144,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.351906,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.114572,
        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": 0.865165,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
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      {
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "close": 165.240005,
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        "typical_volume": 4983605.0,
        "trend": 140.589592,
        "fair_value": 80.196888,
        "relative_strength": 20.379916,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 33.245328,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 81.844141,
        "relative_strength": 18.155605,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 51.976945,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 145.032369,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 147.990005,
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        "typical_volume": 4923165.0,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 37.414531,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 144.630005,
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        "typical_volume": 4886690.0,
        "trend": 146.645496,
        "fair_value": 84.036943,
        "relative_strength": 0.475496,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 4989200,
        "typical_volume": 4823830.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 4593635.0,
        "trend": 147.537435,
        "fair_value": 85.434661,
        "relative_strength": -0.851955,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 4395470.0,
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        "fair_value": 86.071609,
        "relative_strength": -4.686466,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 87.472706,
        "relative_strength": -0.685099,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 27.867187,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 500800,
        "typical_volume": 3587850.0,
        "trend": 150.848668,
        "fair_value": 88.116802,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 135.970001,
        "volume": 4866800,
        "typical_volume": 3655285.0,
        "trend": 151.182001,
        "fair_value": 88.722462,
        "relative_strength": -9.769075,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.927139,
        "energy": 49.385517,
        "activity_lines": [
          141.686,
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          151.031442
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 119.93,
        "volume": 6049100,
        "typical_volume": 3746215.0,
        "trend": 151.039001,
        "fair_value": 89.216378,
        "relative_strength": -20.119148,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -82.239941,
        "energy": 74.809633,
        "activity_lines": [
          133.954,
          139.371819,
          146.156049,
          149.015184
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 123.870003,
        "volume": 6351600,
        "typical_volume": 3769140.0,
        "trend": 150.918668,
        "fair_value": 89.724017,
        "relative_strength": -17.56967,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.517907,
        "energy": 79.401049,
        "activity_lines": [
          128.942001,
          135.94491,
          143.753335,
          147.262345
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 120.980003,
        "volume": 5926400,
        "typical_volume": 3758380.0,
        "trend": 150.439334,
        "fair_value": 90.213703,
        "relative_strength": -19.062487,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.809136,
        "energy": 82.87034,
        "activity_lines": [
          124.780002,
          132.431092,
          141.195144,
          145.330818
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 135.860001,
        "volume": 4472000,
        "typical_volume": 3659030.0,
        "trend": 149.980001,
        "fair_value": 90.786347,
        "relative_strength": -11.962683,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.666982,
        "energy": 73.598152,
        "activity_lines": [
          127.377335,
          132.052728,
          140.183668,
          144.390216
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}