{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4b399df3-d6c7-4e4c-90ce-3e9dff55af84",
    "symbol": "V3AL",
    "name": "Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) Distributing",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 90.827,
    "architecture_energy": 73.157,
    "architecture_maturity": 82.517,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.184,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.28,
        "rotation_up": 63.37,
        "upward_expansion": 87.67,
        "deceleration": 65.39,
        "rotation_down": 28.86,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.543933,
        6.503409,
        6.378623,
        6.221149
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 6.691,
    "trend_reference": 6.044811,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.1069,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.229653,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279435,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.847841,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.169061,
    "excess_performance": 0.086177,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1069,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042945,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.279435,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061621,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028478,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034994,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169061,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 30.383192,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8285,
      "relative_activity": 1.208069,
      "balance": 30.383192,
      "dry_up": 0.535903,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016624,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.134097,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.24972
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.044811,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.229653,
      "structural_low": 5.354,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.01363,
        "positive_rate": 0.592593,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.592593,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002354,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.064866,
        "worst_return": -0.070867,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_return": 0.028752,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008565,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.144479,
        "worst_return": -0.173216,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.031959,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.064397,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.145139,
        "worst_return": -0.065657,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.112851,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.079066,
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        "worst_return": 0.034875,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 6660.15,
        "trend": 5.970698,
        "fair_value": 5.184811,
        "relative_strength": 0.049522,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.509739,
        "energy": 77.373714,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.253162,
          6.114385
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 885,
        "typical_volume": 6302.45,
        "trend": 5.995418,
        "fair_value": 5.19889,
        "relative_strength": 0.965365,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 66.647076,
        "energy": 66.247964,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.479,
        "volume": 5031,
        "typical_volume": 6456.35,
        "trend": 6.019042,
        "fair_value": 5.213428,
        "relative_strength": 0.993494,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.350174,
        "energy": 64.161259,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.474067,
          6.456069,
          6.32728,
          6.177797
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.691,
        "volume": 8285,
        "typical_volume": 6858.05,
        "trend": 6.044811,
        "fair_value": 5.229653,
        "relative_strength": 2.847841,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.827429,
        "energy": 73.157395,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.221149
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}