{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4b401c9b-4270-4a07-80a5-5193342f1bb1", "symbol": "RSI", "name": "Rush Street Interactive Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 60.685, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 19.516, "architecture_energy": 18.331, "architecture_maturity": 92.613, "architecture_confidence": 80.793, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.01, "rotation_up": 24.95, "upward_expansion": 60.73, "deceleration": 85.49, "rotation_down": 33.3, "downward_expansion": 22.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.315333, 29.592364, 28.638857, 26.912731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 24.88, "trend_reference": 24.388333, "distance_from_trend": 0.02016, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.680962, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.818586, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.325991, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.408036, "excess_performance": 0.282411, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02016, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.179852, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.818586, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.583226, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00326, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.325356, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.408036, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.581841, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20158034, "relative_activity": 1.676463, "balance": 0.581841, "dry_up": 1.337373, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.124185, "annualized_volatility": 0.549088, "from_high_reference": -0.279467, "from_low_reference": 0.604126 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.388333, "fair_value_reference": 13.680962, "structural_low": 15.51, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.042269, "positive_rate": 0.576923, "directional_follow_through": 0.576923, "median_excess_return": 0.041105, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.432343, "worst_return": -0.359281, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.076999, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.002137, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.583689, "worst_return": -0.559861, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.010261, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.031761, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.604452, "worst_return": -0.68455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": 38.466309, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.872526, "energy": 84.015334, "activity_lines": [ 32.223333, 30.617636, 28.307143, 26.169398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.43, "volume": 13974987, "typical_volume": 10879001.55, "trend": 23.947667, "fair_value": 13.403397, "relative_strength": 33.206577, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.578936, "energy": 60.207632, "activity_lines": [ 32.151333, 31.002364, 28.813238, 26.677806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.91, "volume": 17797482, "typical_volume": 11439797.25, "trend": 24.201, "fair_value": 13.548526, "relative_strength": 12.504632, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.87961, "energy": 41.074991, "activity_lines": [ 30.416667, 30.480545, 28.838571, 26.868925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.88, "volume": 20158034, "typical_volume": 12024141.9, "trend": 24.388333, "fair_value": 13.680962, "relative_strength": 0.325991, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.516078, "energy": 18.331257, "activity_lines": [ 28.315333, 29.592364, 28.638857, 26.912731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }