{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4b502f6f-fd33-4e00-9c51-5042c1ca56a6", "symbol": "DISHTV", "name": "Dish TV India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.501, "architecture_energy": 64.313, "architecture_maturity": 12.079, "architecture_confidence": 81.108, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.24, "rotation_up": 8.27, "upward_expansion": 21.31, "deceleration": 43.36, "rotation_down": 71.49, "downward_expansion": 84.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.875333, 2.951636, 3.118667, 3.103742 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.89, "trend_reference": 3.127667, "distance_from_trend": -0.075988, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.280513, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.718886, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.179772, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.147493, "excess_performance": -0.103784, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.075988, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107231, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.718886, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057993, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.221798, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144337, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.147493, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.454695, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3755945, "relative_activity": 0.240769, "balance": 0.454695, "dry_up": 0.20979, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075858, "annualized_volatility": 0.702238, "from_high_reference": -0.517529, "from_low_reference": 0.587912 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.127667, "fair_value_reference": 10.280513, "structural_low": 1.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.07277, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.071946, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.493392, "worst_return": -0.232416, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.073457, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.148982, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.370629, "worst_return": -0.427739, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.113348, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.118446, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.351724, "worst_return": -0.606886, "sufficient": true }, { 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"close": 2.98, "volume": 5235326, "typical_volume": 21281001.0, "trend": 3.272333, "fair_value": 10.680321, "relative_strength": -22.60863, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.141786, "energy": 28.927603, "activity_lines": [ 3.08, 3.144, 3.212429, 3.193742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.92, "volume": 3280840, "typical_volume": 20321984.7, "trend": 3.238, "fair_value": 10.574679, "relative_strength": -23.469266, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.374342, "energy": 50.606514, "activity_lines": [ 3.016667, 3.084545, 3.194762, 3.171011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.82, "volume": 2767118, "typical_volume": 19104092.25, "trend": 3.202, "fair_value": 10.480577, "relative_strength": -23.384189, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.182035, "energy": 65.849217, "activity_lines": [ 2.933333, 3.024, 3.167429, 3.144043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.85, "volume": 3286778, "typical_volume": 17283135.35, "trend": 3.162667, "fair_value": 10.386987, "relative_strength": -23.56802, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.759191, "energy": 67.306955, "activity_lines": [ 2.887333, 2.978727, 3.141952, 3.121333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.89, "volume": 3755945, "typical_volume": 15599779.75, "trend": 3.127667, "fair_value": 10.280513, "relative_strength": -22.179772, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.500559, "energy": 64.313301, "activity_lines": [ 2.875333, 2.951636, 3.118667, 3.103742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }