{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4b54cabc-a67d-4e61-9e01-50235fbbdc3b", "symbol": "RGOS", "name": "Russell Investments Sustainable Global Opportunities Complex ETF", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 63.554, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 57.268, "architecture_energy": 56.943, "architecture_maturity": 6.672, "architecture_confidence": 52.667, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.57, "rotation_up": 63.83, "upward_expansion": 57.92, "deceleration": 27.53, "rotation_down": 21.81, "downward_expansion": 18.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.832667, 21.741922, 21.493212, 21.436409 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.24, "trend_reference": 21.521107, "distance_from_trend": 0.033404, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.314161, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.043438, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.004326, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.012029, "excess_performance": -0.051677, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033404, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012122, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.043438, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077778, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.030043, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019702, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.012029, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.858826, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 108091, "relative_activity": 2.200001, "balance": 0.858826, "dry_up": 2.120573, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014043, "annualized_volatility": 0.138612, "from_high_reference": -0.037851, "from_low_reference": 0.108483 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.521107, "fair_value_reference": 21.314161, "structural_low": 20.06345, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.024885, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 20.846008, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 21.325672, "volume": 5139, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 21.034569, "volume": 12078, 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null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.459999, "volume": 80199, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.700001, "volume": 55200, "typical_volume": 43851.65, "trend": 21.536946, "fair_value": 21.302588, "relative_strength": -2.344141, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.59317, "energy": 32.739377, "activity_lines": [ 21.650667, 21.611172, 21.400366, 21.391051 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.24, "volume": 108091, "typical_volume": 49132.25, "trend": 21.521107, "fair_value": 21.314161, "relative_strength": -3.004326, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 57.267528, "energy": 56.943317, "activity_lines": [ 21.832667, 21.741922, 21.493212, 21.436409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }