{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4b69d03a-09af-4bc6-97f6-230b675f9fb0", "symbol": "WORL", "name": "FRANKLIN TEMPLETON ICAV FRANKLI", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.965, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.087, "architecture_energy": 60.22, "architecture_maturity": 77.378, "architecture_confidence": 63.63, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.96, "rotation_up": 50.84, "upward_expansion": 80.64, "deceleration": 70.6, "rotation_down": 29.08, "downward_expansion": 9.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 36.443835, 36.334137, 36.017465, 35.359791 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 37.365002, "trend_reference": 34.606584, "distance_from_trend": 0.079708, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.032635, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244147, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.380166, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.117458, "excess_performance": 0.066223, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079708, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040143, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.244147, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029078, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033802, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02562, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.117458, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.47546, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 630, "relative_activity": 1.181324, "balance": 0.47546, "dry_up": 1.329458, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016418, "annualized_volatility": 0.132861, "from_high_reference": -0.00147, "from_low_reference": 0.241362 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.606584, "fair_value_reference": 30.032635, "structural_low": 30.52, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.005272, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012059, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.047622, "worst_return": -0.080257, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.003647, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.045057, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.02803, "worst_return": -0.020736, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.117683, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.044535, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.117683, "worst_return": 0.117683, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.015533, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.01479, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.043366, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.007427, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", 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67.785153, "energy": 68.261239, "activity_lines": [ 36.326167, 36.241591, 35.45406, 34.847645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 35.967499, "volume": 405, "typical_volume": 495.9, "trend": 34.257917, "fair_value": 29.855764, "relative_strength": 2.445602, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.89687, "energy": 58.743204, "activity_lines": [ 36.223, 36.214955, 35.583203, 34.965549 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.892502, "volume": 1801, "typical_volume": 585.65, "trend": 34.361167, "fair_value": 29.911147, "relative_strength": 0.912678, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.507919, "energy": 50.618873, "activity_lines": [ 36.108001, 36.166091, 35.695167, 35.071006 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.942501, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 566.7, "trend": 34.470167, "fair_value": 29.965977, "relative_strength": -0.18507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.061058, "energy": 42.189314, "activity_lines": [ 36.040168, 36.119955, 35.797572, 35.173027 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.365002, "volume": 630, "typical_volume": 533.3, "trend": 34.606584, "fair_value": 30.032635, "relative_strength": 3.380166, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.086869, "energy": 60.22011, "activity_lines": [ 36.443835, 36.334137, 36.017465, 35.359791 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }