{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4b793fd5-7e72-4c56-952f-ab89bce2f5cb", "symbol": "002330", "name": "Shandong Delisi Food Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.178, "architecture_energy": 41.024, "architecture_maturity": 99.024, "architecture_confidence": 89.74, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.02, "rotation_up": 27.35, "upward_expansion": 18.97, "deceleration": 46.96, "rotation_down": 37.62, "downward_expansion": 66.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.762, 3.728727, 3.932238, 4.160086 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.82, "trend_reference": 4.457, "distance_from_trend": -0.142921, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.643172, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.177287, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.546156, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.280603, "excess_performance": -0.288002, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.142921, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092076, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.177287, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156441, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.215462, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000581, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.280603, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.510737, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44714150, "relative_activity": 0.917575, "balance": 0.510737, "dry_up": 1.181526, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072694, "annualized_volatility": 0.277084, "from_high_reference": -0.341379, "from_low_reference": 0.100865 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.457, "fair_value_reference": 4.643172, "structural_low": 3.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.010993, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": 0.001146, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.20274, "worst_return": -0.16699, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.034335, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.017175, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.302857, "worst_return": -0.213592, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.048904, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.089633, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.613334, "worst_return": -0.193262, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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4.535667, "fair_value": 4.668925, "relative_strength": -25.57119, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.15181, "energy": 64.978858, "activity_lines": [ 3.649333, 3.711273, 4.005857, 4.246968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.86, "volume": 54407645, "typical_volume": 49552637.7, "trend": 4.491, "fair_value": 4.656592, "relative_strength": -17.22375, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.526342, "energy": 49.352827, "activity_lines": [ 3.722667, 3.719455, 3.968, 4.203376 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.82, "volume": 44714150, "typical_volume": 48730810.1, "trend": 4.457, "fair_value": 4.643172, "relative_strength": -21.546156, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.177698, "energy": 41.023851, "activity_lines": [ 3.762, 3.728727, 3.932238, 4.160086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }