{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4b817f02-e2da-4528-ac43-44686879addb", "symbol": "WRX", "name": "Western Ridge Resources Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.226, "architecture_energy": 23.612, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.488, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.81, "rotation_up": 27.63, "upward_expansion": 20.98, "deceleration": 46.91, "rotation_down": 24.42, "downward_expansion": 57.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.024133, 0.0228, 0.025029, 0.027776 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.025, "trend_reference": 0.031533, "distance_from_trend": -0.207188, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.098281, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.745627, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.273531, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.404762, "excess_performance": -0.468468, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.207188, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120818, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.745627, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040457, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.312735, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147792, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.404762, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.506589, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 124664, "relative_activity": 0.183078, "balance": 0.506589, "dry_up": 0.713483, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.181538, "annualized_volatility": 0.763061, "from_high_reference": -0.545455, "from_low_reference": 0.5625 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.031533, "fair_value_reference": 0.098281, "structural_low": 0.016, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.081081, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.095894, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 1.066667, "worst_return": -0.452174, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.242424, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.270718, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.527778, "worst_return": -0.574713, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.00665, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.5, "worst_return": -0.76875, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.559404, "energy": 51.518521, "activity_lines": [ 0.021667, 0.022109, 0.025714, 0.028697 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.025, "volume": 472727, "typical_volume": 758492.4, "trend": 0.031967, "fair_value": 0.098986, "relative_strength": -29.866812, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.838023, "energy": 32.399483, "activity_lines": [ 0.023133, 0.0224, 0.025343, 0.028226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.025, "volume": 124664, "typical_volume": 680933.1, "trend": 0.031533, "fair_value": 0.098281, "relative_strength": -31.273531, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.226209, "energy": 23.612452, "activity_lines": [ 0.024133, 0.0228, 0.025029, 0.027776 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }