{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4b82e8dd-5933-4388-b0f5-373e36dd9889",
    "symbol": "300726",
    "name": "Zhuzhou Hongda Electronics Corp.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -17.885,
    "architecture_energy": 31.679,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.972,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.895,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.59,
        "rotation_up": 14.07,
        "upward_expansion": 15.86,
        "deceleration": 72.88,
        "rotation_down": 63.41,
        "downward_expansion": 40.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        51.792,
        60.351874,
        60.948689,
        58.086709
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 54.450001,
    "trend_reference": 55.11985,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.012153,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 35.9792,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.513374,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.928489,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.094252,
    "excess_performance": 0.086853,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012153,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.152113,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.513374,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017626,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089285,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086568,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094252,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.067419,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 81670139,
      "relative_activity": 1.463707,
      "balance": 1.067419,
      "dry_up": 1.371486,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.237685,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.894658,
      "from_high_reference": -0.425633,
      "from_low_reference": 0.629752
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 55.11985,
      "fair_value_reference": 35.9792,
      "structural_low": 40.107216,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.044557,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000812,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.296333,
        "worst_return": -0.210694,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.15644,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030084,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.197401,
        "worst_return": 0.068678,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.33068,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.143327,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.400112,
        "worst_return": 0.261248,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.765889,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.367131,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.765889,
        "worst_return": 0.765889,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-08-18",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.362386,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.131507,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031208,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.076763,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.100743,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.002389,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.356919,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.16,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.068678,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.36584,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.234436,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-05-15",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.123607,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 51263839.9,
        "trend": 55.21385,
        "fair_value": 35.837713,
        "relative_strength": 1.204881,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 7.255619,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 47.549999,
        "volume": 73212035,
        "typical_volume": 53052519.55,
        "trend": 55.00185,
        "fair_value": 35.878416,
        "relative_strength": 0.56967,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -16.080884,
        "energy": 31.195827,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 54.450001,
        "volume": 81670139,
        "typical_volume": 55796785.9,
        "trend": 55.11985,
        "fair_value": 35.9792,
        "relative_strength": 8.928489,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.885016,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}