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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.264, "architecture_energy": 94.817, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 65.607, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.12, "rotation_up": 82.91, "upward_expansion": 97.54, "deceleration": 41.87, "rotation_down": 10.99, "downward_expansion": 21.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.362768, 50.314455, 50.247759, 50.179179 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 50.41, "trend_reference": 50.069731, "distance_from_trend": 0.006796, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.640815, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.058126, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.709846, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.012661, "excess_performance": -0.112964, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.006796, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005714, "read": "Rising" }, 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50.233546, 50.223171, 50.16295, 50.087723 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 50.30029, "volume": 18092279, "typical_volume": 24669137.1, "trend": 49.98982, "fair_value": 47.522138, "relative_strength": -7.097624, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.152099, "energy": 66.183001, "activity_lines": [ 50.25301, 50.241336, 50.181636, 50.10947 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.340163, "volume": 19168863, "typical_volume": 24222627.85, "trend": 50.016552, "fair_value": 47.561781, "relative_strength": -6.247696, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.517465, "energy": 72.712324, "activity_lines": [ 50.283676, 50.263029, 50.202182, 50.132073 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.38, "volume": 43630477, "typical_volume": 25007026.95, "trend": 50.043298, "fair_value": 47.601343, "relative_strength": -6.898547, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.759769, "energy": 91.426701, "activity_lines": [ 50.324866, 50.288059, 50.224535, 50.155521 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.41, "volume": 33396613, "typical_volume": 25323635.65, "trend": 50.069731, "fair_value": 47.640815, "relative_strength": -9.709846, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.264074, "energy": 94.816528, "activity_lines": [ 50.362768, 50.314455, 50.247759, 50.179179 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }