{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4bb28216-e17a-44cb-a634-c1ab60f0c6e3", "symbol": "UPSS34", "name": "United Parcel Service, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 0.647, "architecture_energy": 8.151, "architecture_maturity": 43.908, "architecture_confidence": 67.109, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.5, "rotation_up": 30.4, "upward_expansion": 38.04, "deceleration": 59.75, "rotation_down": 37.82, "downward_expansion": 24.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.571334, 34.977818, 34.291215, 34.00304 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 33.330002, "trend_reference": 34.06854, "distance_from_trend": -0.021678, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 38.08784, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.124918, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.746876, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.106801, "excess_performance": -0.049752, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.021678, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025573, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.124918, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095982, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.007469, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.181151, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.106801, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.063474, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 566, "relative_activity": 0.050985, "balance": 0.063474, "dry_up": 2.785417, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049745, "annualized_volatility": 0.28972, "from_high_reference": -0.171362, "from_low_reference": 0.252838 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.06854, "fair_value_reference": 38.08784, "structural_low": 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"modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 55.219433, "energy": 62.438117, "activity_lines": [ 35.969332, 35.274727, 34.033088, 33.965772 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.360001, "volume": 117627, "typical_volume": 11236.45, "trend": 34.129071, "fair_value": 38.284138, "relative_strength": 6.924257, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.476807, "energy": 50.681858, "activity_lines": [ 36.218666, 35.629636, 34.327995, 34.114512 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.209999, "volume": 4423, "typical_volume": 11075.85, "trend": 34.138735, "fair_value": 38.183704, "relative_strength": -4.27969, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.526443, "energy": 19.193701, "activity_lines": [ 35.303999, 35.308, 34.30664, 34.055217 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.330002, "volume": 566, "typical_volume": 11101.3, "trend": 34.06854, "fair_value": 38.08784, "relative_strength": -0.746876, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.646775, "energy": 8.151036, "activity_lines": [ 34.571334, 34.977818, 34.291215, 34.00304 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }