{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4bb627a2-42b8-4ce9-b1e6-9f7266d9c255", "symbol": "000548", "name": "Hunan Investment Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.488, "architecture_energy": 51.168, "architecture_maturity": 87.896, "architecture_confidence": 89.799, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 27.73, "upward_expansion": 8.75, "deceleration": 60.91, "rotation_down": 49.74, "downward_expansion": 82.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.246, 4.25354, 4.508457, 4.750117 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.34, "trend_reference": 5.054061, "distance_from_trend": -0.141285, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.997152, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.131505, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.741992, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.246528, "excess_performance": -0.253928, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.141285, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083114, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.131505, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.183681, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.20742, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012931, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.246528, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.835197, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29803937, "relative_activity": 0.867178, "balance": 0.835197, "dry_up": 1.039436, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072394, "annualized_volatility": 0.249552, "from_high_reference": -0.286184, "from_low_reference": 0.093199 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.054061, "fair_value_reference": 4.997152, "structural_low": 3.97, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.033505, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.352941, "median_excess_return": 0.024264, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.19, "worst_return": -0.174905, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.100934, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.086047, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.384428, "worst_return": -0.212705, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.154513, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.06618, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.601108, "worst_return": -0.01864, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-24.609335, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.26231, "energy": 67.659641, "activity_lines": [ 4.16, 4.280786, 4.605617, 4.851587 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.31, "volume": 34590716, "typical_volume": 35003848.9, "trend": 5.090728, "fair_value": 5.000963, "relative_strength": -17.863906, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.224404, "energy": 59.417633, "activity_lines": [ 4.202667, 4.25613, 4.552084, 4.798551 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.34, "volume": 29803937, "typical_volume": 34368896.8, "trend": 5.054061, "fair_value": 4.997152, "relative_strength": -20.741992, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.487838, "energy": 51.167749, "activity_lines": [ 4.246, 4.25354, 4.508457, 4.750117 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }