{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4bca1816-cfbc-4c03-a5e5-d4fa4f21eca8", "symbol": "SHG", "name": "Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.628, "architecture_energy": 67.042, "architecture_maturity": 18.454, "architecture_confidence": 81.432, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.82, "rotation_up": 72.85, "upward_expansion": 88.96, "deceleration": 43.26, "rotation_down": 11.29, "downward_expansion": 13.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 72.536, 70.393273, 68.453143, 67.290387 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 75.81, "trend_reference": 65.598333, "distance_from_trend": 0.15567, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 42.442265, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.786191, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.715394, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.163444, "excess_performance": 0.037819, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.15567, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083649, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.786191, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019358, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.137154, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00104, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.163444, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.08655, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1071227, "relative_activity": 0.844932, "balance": 1.08655, "dry_up": 0.93747, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07009, "annualized_volatility": 0.403512, "from_high_reference": -0.022311, "from_low_reference": 0.638781 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.598333, "fair_value_reference": 42.442265, "structural_low": 58.45, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.020735, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.001533, "regime_survival": 0.703704, "best_return": 0.231245, "worst_return": -0.176074, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.076981, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.03934, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.265302, "worst_return": -0.234687, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.14315, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.046016, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.3956, "worst_return": -0.206369, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 1267826.05, "trend": 65.598333, "fair_value": 42.442265, "relative_strength": 13.715394, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.627755, "energy": 67.04222, "activity_lines": [ 72.536, 70.393273, 68.453143, 67.290387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }