{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4bd01298-e35f-4f22-b514-e71d83c8967f",
    "symbol": "FV",
    "name": "FIRST TRUST DORSEY WRIGHT FOCUS 5 ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 44.416,
    "architecture_energy": 26.329,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.984,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.348,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.3,
        "rotation_up": 28.46,
        "upward_expansion": 57.81,
        "deceleration": 88.25,
        "rotation_down": 30.63,
        "downward_expansion": 19.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        70.778247,
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        70.771507,
        69.140524
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 72.58,
    "trend_reference": 67.528658,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.074803,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 58.072111,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.249825,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.327114,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.097573,
    "excess_performance": -0.089881,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074803,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048079,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.249825,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018967,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023271,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052087,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097573,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.872954,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 376728,
      "relative_activity": 0.91808,
      "balance": 1.872954,
      "dry_up": 0.746317,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040218,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.164349,
      "from_high_reference": -0.046003,
      "from_low_reference": 0.247399
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 67.528658,
      "fair_value_reference": 58.072111,
      "structural_low": 58.3308,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.024169,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012492,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.057265,
        "worst_return": -0.087398,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.020509,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034546,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.105154,
        "worst_return": -0.113042,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.068877,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.073731,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.200795,
        "worst_return": 0.012047,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.048899,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.276916,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.1134,
        "worst_return": -0.015603,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.041229,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.026552,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.108817,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014193,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007676,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -2.456261,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 57.316561,
        "relative_strength": -1.585934,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 57.48092,
        "relative_strength": -2.556771,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "direction": 65.05588,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 69.6796,
        "volume": 285898,
        "typical_volume": 454561.35,
        "trend": 66.937911,
        "fair_value": 57.6233,
        "relative_strength": -2.822389,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.117354,
        "energy": 38.89598,
        "activity_lines": [
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          70.046854,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 69.448,
        "volume": 308003,
        "typical_volume": 436231.3,
        "trend": 67.130631,
        "fair_value": 57.759802,
        "relative_strength": -1.450564,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.441445,
        "energy": 25.632423,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.880047,
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          70.224529,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 69.5178,
        "volume": 254356,
        "typical_volume": 412477.95,
        "trend": 67.316153,
        "fair_value": 57.903557,
        "relative_strength": -1.76828,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.360297,
        "energy": 23.634503,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.19502,
          71.202728,
          70.373506,
          68.800921
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 72.58,
        "volume": 376728,
        "typical_volume": 410343.2,
        "trend": 67.528658,
        "fair_value": 58.072111,
        "relative_strength": -2.327114,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.416079,
        "energy": 26.329174,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}