{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4bd35519-e4d7-4b4e-8b51-661234cd0f39",
    "symbol": "NXE",
    "name": "NexGen Energy Ltd.",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 52.405,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -58.297,
    "architecture_energy": 39.839,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.449,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.909,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.82,
        "rotation_up": 21.71,
        "upward_expansion": 4.85,
        "deceleration": 52.61,
        "rotation_down": 54.7,
        "downward_expansion": 80.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.562667,
        9.608545,
        10.210095,
        10.642796
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 10.43,
    "trend_reference": 11.163,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.065663,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.78609,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.339568,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.843453,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.055254,
    "excess_performance": -0.180879,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065663,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019856,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.339568,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.318016,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078435,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.258818,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.055254,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.783527,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 20615480,
      "relative_activity": 0.752425,
      "balance": 0.783527,
      "dry_up": 0.887449,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.116506,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.459894,
      "from_high_reference": -0.252865,
      "from_low_reference": 0.666134
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.163,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.78609,
      "structural_low": 8.5884,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.117166,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055263,
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        "worst_return": -0.025641,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.098039,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
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        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "relative_strength": -11.823076,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 31063504.25,
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        "fair_value": 7.694615,
        "relative_strength": -18.568487,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -75.159383,
        "energy": 71.768774,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 23315033,
        "typical_volume": 30099882.3,
        "trend": 11.21,
        "fair_value": 7.723013,
        "relative_strength": -15.011406,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.322326,
        "energy": 67.503641,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.15,
        "volume": 29293253,
        "typical_volume": 29584759.45,
        "trend": 11.173333,
        "fair_value": 7.750897,
        "relative_strength": -16.030749,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.417841,
        "energy": 62.939742,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.43,
        "volume": 20615480,
        "typical_volume": 27398730.65,
        "trend": 11.163,
        "fair_value": 7.78609,
        "relative_strength": -7.843453,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.296552,
        "energy": 39.838782,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}