{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4bff65ef-5d68-4908-b592-1fd87e20c2d9", "symbol": "300999", "name": "Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -29.382, "architecture_energy": 25.031, "architecture_maturity": 93.159, "architecture_confidence": 72.405, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.86, "rotation_up": 36.4, "upward_expansion": 21.73, "deceleration": 44.16, "rotation_down": 21.92, "downward_expansion": 55.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.974667, 25.383273, 25.79852, 26.511542 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 26.02, "trend_reference": 27.446754, "distance_from_trend": -0.051983, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.4554, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.145636, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.437116, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.127875, "excess_performance": -0.135274, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.051983, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054911, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.145636, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03723, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.134371, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10635, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.127875, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.424682, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46341843, "relative_activity": 1.123796, "balance": 1.424682, "dry_up": 1.333911, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053816, "annualized_volatility": 0.253891, "from_high_reference": -0.235557, "from_low_reference": 0.117698 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.446754, "fair_value_reference": 30.4554, "structural_low": 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39.12593, "activity_lines": [ 24.942667, 24.909272, 25.833659, 26.649033 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.969999, "volume": 50640811, "typical_volume": 43270119.25, "trend": 27.528991, "fair_value": 30.54318, "relative_strength": -6.222879, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.797148, "energy": 21.140739, "activity_lines": [ 25.738, 25.242182, 25.850966, 26.608896 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.02, "volume": 46341843, "typical_volume": 41236890.4, "trend": 27.446754, "fair_value": 30.4554, "relative_strength": -13.437116, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.381799, "energy": 25.030707, "activity_lines": [ 25.974667, 25.383273, 25.79852, 26.511542 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }