{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4bff7a4b-b701-4ec5-94e3-260da359aaa4", "symbol": "ASIANTILES", "name": "Asian Granito India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.607, "architecture_energy": 37.376, "architecture_maturity": 64.602, "architecture_confidence": 53.405, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.48, "rotation_up": 24.48, "upward_expansion": 16.43, "deceleration": 66.52, "rotation_down": 43.61, "downward_expansion": 66.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.072, 52.971455, 56.542667, 59.00671 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 55.110001, "trend_reference": 62.544334, "distance_from_trend": -0.118865, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 65.120898, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.153728, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.128906, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.26215, "excess_performance": -0.218441, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.118865, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072322, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.153728, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131551, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.121289, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.136315, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.26215, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 12.282186, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21470976, "relative_activity": 0.660627, "balance": 12.282186, "dry_up": 3.095911, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.100777, "annualized_volatility": 0.486544, "from_high_reference": -0.302934, "from_low_reference": 0.296706 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 62.544334, "fair_value_reference": 65.120898, "structural_low": 42.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.019199, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.022747, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.40382, "worst_return": -0.346528, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.047278, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.066508, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.487827, "worst_return": -0.366574, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.12422, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.189555, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.397878, "worst_return": -0.34, "sufficient": 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"activity_lines": [ 52.405333, 55.689818, 59.674858, 62.069893 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 46.360001, "volume": 2960927, "typical_volume": 14706003.8, "trend": 64.615001, "fair_value": 64.965, "relative_strength": -25.531268, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.556817, "energy": 92.40136, "activity_lines": [ 49.671334, 53.586, 58.188762, 60.836904 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 53.470001, "volume": 129518045, "typical_volume": 20691988.8, "trend": 63.853334, "fair_value": 65.015449, "relative_strength": -12.023736, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.314574, "energy": 80.462234, "activity_lines": [ 50.244667, 53.077819, 57.498381, 60.117871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.639999, "volume": 248529480, "typical_volume": 32174474.6, "trend": 63.119667, "fair_value": 65.074039, "relative_strength": -12.280648, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.6852, "energy": 60.695321, "activity_lines": [ 51.589333, 52.912, 56.982286, 59.523463 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.110001, "volume": 21470976, "typical_volume": 32500892.75, "trend": 62.544334, "fair_value": 65.120898, "relative_strength": -12.128906, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.607255, "energy": 37.375737, "activity_lines": [ 53.072, 52.971455, 56.542667, 59.00671 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }