{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4c062918-8d69-497d-962e-83f1081efb12", "symbol": "603667", "name": "Zhejiang XCC Group Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 75.602, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.448, "architecture_energy": 71.897, "architecture_maturity": 23.39, "architecture_confidence": 78.794, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.83, "rotation_up": 11.98, "upward_expansion": 18.86, "deceleration": 34.46, "rotation_down": 71.88, "downward_expansion": 89.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.511333, 58.04296, 64.256902, 66.997049 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 55.630001, "trend_reference": 71.081695, "distance_from_trend": -0.217379, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.861328, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.551253, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.608215, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.266482, "excess_performance": -0.223278, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.217379, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058452, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.551253, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.930697, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.066082, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.441569, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.266482, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.537116, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 84763284, "relative_activity": 0.814847, "balance": 1.537116, "dry_up": 0.805166, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.184944, "annualized_volatility": 0.777488, "from_high_reference": -0.424656, "from_low_reference": 0.656641 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 71.081695, "fair_value_reference": 35.861328, "structural_low": 47.669998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.064032, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": 0.033602, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.330309, "worst_return": -0.132547, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.172381, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.136379, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.59161, "worst_return": -0.035008, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.837304, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.757584, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.000714, "worst_return": 0.145354, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"2026-07-24", "close": 49.16, "volume": 88281103, "typical_volume": 105733229.9, "trend": 71.584362, "fair_value": 35.36385, "relative_strength": -13.841142, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.109654, "energy": 65.282076, "activity_lines": [ 57.302667, 62.099649, 67.00891, 69.297978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.849998, "volume": 78921862, "typical_volume": 103292301.05, "trend": 71.560028, "fair_value": 35.596424, "relative_strength": -9.979748, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.391161, "energy": 73.943259, "activity_lines": [ 54.483333, 59.398965, 65.404477, 68.024793 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.630001, "volume": 84763284, "typical_volume": 104023589.55, "trend": 71.081695, "fair_value": 35.861328, "relative_strength": -6.608215, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.447947, "energy": 71.896955, "activity_lines": [ 53.511333, 58.04296, 64.256902, 66.997049 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }