{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4c0e60a4-eaa0-4ee9-b2f6-656ef700fcbd",
    "symbol": "2484",
    "name": "Siward Crystal Technology Co., Ltd",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 40.747,
    "architecture_energy": 24.256,
    "architecture_maturity": 79.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.28,
        "rotation_up": 25.05,
        "upward_expansion": 57.19,
        "deceleration": 91.15,
        "rotation_down": 27.59,
        "downward_expansion": 20.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        72.193333,
        75.149091,
        69.433571,
        61.124193
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 76.5,
    "trend_reference": 50.375,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.51861,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.761175,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.486901,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 61.613129,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 1.897727,
    "excess_performance": 1.551995,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.51861,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.586281,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.486901,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.676872,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.616131,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.276364,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.897727,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.277456,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 71219653,
      "relative_activity": 0.613277,
      "balance": 4.277456,
      "dry_up": 0.880174,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.170789,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.879441,
      "from_high_reference": -0.206432,
      "from_low_reference": 2.903061
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 50.375,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.761175,
      "structural_low": 25.1,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.059073,
        "positive_rate": 0.416667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04399,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.369193,
        "worst_return": -0.093795,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.008892,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005132,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.552567,
        "worst_return": -0.08366,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.066378,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.096976,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 3.435207,
        "worst_return": -0.107009,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.075808,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.154813,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.227856,
        "worst_return": -0.398795,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "violet",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.029369,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.099388,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.026874,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.054094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.262124,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.048837,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "violet",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006757,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.06264,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.045801,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
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        "return": 0.293399,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050824,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "fair_value": 29.916253,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "typical_volume": 111609991.1,
        "trend": 46.964999,
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        "relative_strength": 59.348877,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 28.763719,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 72.800003,
        "volume": 94808834,
        "typical_volume": 114626330.9,
        "trend": 48.706666,
        "fair_value": 30.458795,
        "relative_strength": 54.126301,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.471195,
        "energy": 26.083233,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.573333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 76.5,
        "volume": 71219653,
        "typical_volume": 116129591.5,
        "trend": 50.375,
        "fair_value": 30.761175,
        "relative_strength": 61.613129,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.747235,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}