{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4c10c0a8-f4d9-458d-9d06-096dedc2b82e", "symbol": "000895", "name": "Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -29.753, "architecture_energy": 25.639, "architecture_maturity": 73.21, "architecture_confidence": 71.801, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.23, "rotation_up": 37.38, "upward_expansion": 21.21, "deceleration": 44.16, "rotation_down": 22.11, "downward_expansion": 55.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.844667, 24.320727, 24.818553, 25.288572 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 24.27, "trend_reference": 25.618217, "distance_from_trend": -0.052627, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.876562, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.016478, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.606368, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.02819, "excess_performance": -0.03559, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.052627, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02327, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.016478, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123658, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.076064, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054628, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.02819, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.987862, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 79873838, "relative_activity": 1.508143, "balance": 0.987862, "dry_up": 1.54759, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056131, "annualized_volatility": 0.208461, "from_high_reference": -0.157174, "from_low_reference": 0.080107 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.618217, "fair_value_reference": 23.876562, "structural_low": 22.469999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.002285, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.014737, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.101211, "worst_return": -0.096386, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.03163, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.03536, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.134036, "worst_return": -0.111111, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.055901, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.040488, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.135212, "worst_return": -0.035141, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 23.370001, "volume": 66801741, "typical_volume": 46229946.0, "trend": 25.753042, "fair_value": 23.768312, "relative_strength": -16.628959, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.001784, "energy": 83.964728, "activity_lines": [ 23.213333, 23.844909, 25.1353, 25.482546 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.6, "volume": 82721323, "typical_volume": 48892862.5, "trend": 25.712372, "fair_value": 23.792875, "relative_strength": -3.255618, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.647174, "energy": 53.419985, "activity_lines": [ 23.651333, 23.855636, 25.014509, 25.408156 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.93, "volume": 89208919, "typical_volume": 50684661.25, "trend": 25.6639, "fair_value": 23.820478, "relative_strength": -2.066013, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.919121, "energy": 33.782252, "activity_lines": [ 24.170667, 23.968, 24.929706, 25.357681 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.99, "volume": 76048038, "typical_volume": 51919881.0, "trend": 25.667294, "fair_value": 23.853897, "relative_strength": 3.79936, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.519014, "energy": 21.749731, "activity_lines": [ 24.900667, 24.303091, 24.953244, 25.37872 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.27, "volume": 79873838, "typical_volume": 52961730.2, "trend": 25.618217, "fair_value": 23.876562, "relative_strength": -7.606368, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.753473, "energy": 25.639003, "activity_lines": [ 24.844667, 24.320727, 24.818553, 25.288572 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }