{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4c14541f-b6a5-4f73-8b2b-f43526355c5d", "symbol": "OPFI", "name": "OppFi Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 72.823, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.861, "architecture_energy": 29.307, "architecture_maturity": 15.717, "architecture_confidence": 58.972, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.64, "rotation_up": 48.48, "upward_expansion": 71.72, "deceleration": 58.99, "rotation_down": 19.64, "downward_expansion": 7.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.316, 9.273273, 9.025286, 8.901699 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.4, "trend_reference": 8.895667, "distance_from_trend": 0.056694, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.171839, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.310682, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.257105, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.036384, "excess_performance": -0.089241, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056694, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.310682, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104573, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.122571, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083703, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.036384, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.186696, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2049924, "relative_activity": 0.689678, "balance": 1.186696, "dry_up": 0.778826, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083421, "annualized_volatility": 0.365691, "from_high_reference": -0.24498, "from_low_reference": 0.277174 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.895667, "fair_value_reference": 7.171839, "structural_low": 7.36, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.017391, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.056588, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.017391, "worst_return": 0.017391, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.295652, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.259412, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.295652, "worst_return": 0.295652, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.486956, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.41285, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.486956, "worst_return": 1.486956, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"activity_lines": [ 9.34, 8.981091, 8.792095, 8.82572 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.38, "volume": 2604047, "typical_volume": 3061709.9, "trend": 9.029667, "fair_value": 7.033189, "relative_strength": -10.767044, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.708086, "energy": 39.880546, "activity_lines": [ 9.435333, 9.08, 8.860667, 8.845398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.02, "volume": 2179795, "typical_volume": 3075518.05, "trend": 8.959333, "fair_value": 7.078542, "relative_strength": -13.013813, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.645569, "energy": 39.420668, "activity_lines": [ 9.342667, 9.112545, 8.894, 8.844774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.37, "volume": 2425828, "typical_volume": 3005203.5, "trend": 8.928333, "fair_value": 7.1259, "relative_strength": -10.079846, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.929885, "energy": 22.844802, "activity_lines": [ 9.327333, 9.201273, 8.96081, 8.871269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.4, "volume": 2049924, "typical_volume": 2972290.4, "trend": 8.895667, "fair_value": 7.171839, "relative_strength": -12.257105, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.860905, "energy": 29.307049, "activity_lines": [ 9.316, 9.273273, 9.025286, 8.901699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }