{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4c1c89e5-0e35-4c67-b4ec-a030b17be6af", "symbol": "7595", "name": "Pharmigene, Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.767, "architecture_energy": 42.254, "architecture_maturity": 52.381, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.68, "rotation_up": 23.01, "upward_expansion": 5.39, "deceleration": 56.31, "rotation_down": 54.56, "downward_expansion": 81.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.275333, 7.311636, 7.946667, 8.501183 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 7.25, "trend_reference": 9.142, "distance_from_trend": -0.206957, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.700769, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.506829, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -49.728729, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.309524, "excess_performance": -0.750896, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.206957, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099872, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.506829, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148405, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.497287, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11277, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.309524, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.394289, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 81490, "relative_activity": 0.301116, "balance": 0.394289, "dry_up": 0.841205, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.171247, "annualized_volatility": 0.643319, "from_high_reference": -0.485816, "from_low_reference": 0.228814 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.142, "fair_value_reference": 14.700769, "structural_low": 5.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.03, "positive_rate": 0.371429, "directional_follow_through": 0.628571, "median_excess_return": -0.046102, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.279605, "worst_return": -0.205814, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.061688, "positive_rate": 0.181818, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.143707, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.393728, "worst_return": -0.2825, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.153331, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.315044, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.243304, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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-51.580783, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.481165, "energy": 49.598357, "activity_lines": [ 7.417333, 7.644727, 8.448667, 8.921441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.01, "volume": 195808, "typical_volume": 279600.0, "trend": 9.320333, "fair_value": 14.92, "relative_strength": -50.376145, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.921472, "energy": 45.385387, "activity_lines": [ 7.322, 7.466364, 8.252, 8.765527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.2, "volume": 17186, "typical_volume": 276779.65, "trend": 9.227, "fair_value": 14.81359, "relative_strength": -49.291711, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.177973, "energy": 37.401135, "activity_lines": [ 7.302667, 7.368545, 8.089571, 8.628731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 7.25, "volume": 81490, "typical_volume": 270626.9, "trend": 9.142, "fair_value": 14.700769, "relative_strength": -49.728729, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.766964, "energy": 42.253673, "activity_lines": [ 7.275333, 7.311636, 7.946667, 8.501183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }