{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4c20995b-9004-419f-bdc1-2921e6e00b7d",
    "symbol": "CDXS",
    "name": "Codexis Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 92.239,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -36.786,
    "architecture_energy": 68.226,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.679,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.47,
        "rotation_up": 14.04,
        "upward_expansion": 29.92,
        "deceleration": 49.24,
        "rotation_down": 70.65,
        "downward_expansion": 54.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.62,
        1.934182,
        2.198286,
        2.131462
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1.47,
    "trend_reference": 1.974667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.255571,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.713205,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.458205,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -37.44328,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.105263,
    "excess_performance": -0.08219,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.255571,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087471,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.458205,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.489449,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.374433,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.470458,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105263,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.388002,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4160398,
      "relative_activity": 0.733661,
      "balance": 0.388002,
      "dry_up": 1.295988,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.253297,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.97119,
      "from_high_reference": -0.620155,
      "from_low_reference": 0.533966
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.974667,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.713205,
      "structural_low": 0.9583,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.067057,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029354,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.185882,
        "worst_return": -0.246454,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.25967,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.244984,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.159574,
        "worst_return": -0.359766,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.388378,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.42531,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.141844,
        "worst_return": -0.634912,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.607088,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.644064,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.56383,
        "worst_return": -0.650346,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.028213,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.077441,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.133094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.196481,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.265464,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.274463,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.246454,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.144681,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.406137,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.454545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.100386,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.02439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.455253,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 1.66,
        "volume": 6390947,
        "typical_volume": 4716948.7,
        "trend": 3.725333,
        "fair_value": 15.096026,
        "relative_strength": -70.15361,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 8542690.55,
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        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 8560644.25,
        "trend": 1.987333,
        "fair_value": 2.726731,
        "relative_strength": -35.597594,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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          2.20228
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.4,
        "volume": 8419683,
        "typical_volume": 6031450.65,
        "trend": 1.980333,
        "fair_value": 2.717179,
        "relative_strength": -38.410348,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -42.710098,
        "energy": 58.545859,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.798,
          2.079818,
          2.275571,
          2.164387
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.47,
        "volume": 4160398,
        "typical_volume": 5670736.65,
        "trend": 1.974667,
        "fair_value": 2.713205,
        "relative_strength": -37.44328,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.785853,
        "energy": 68.225614,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.62,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}