{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4c27dc16-d59d-4010-9fd4-f0ac47f20de7",
    "symbol": "W1BO34",
    "name": "Weibo Corporation",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -30.283,
    "architecture_energy": 23.343,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.857,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.85,
        "rotation_up": 31.76,
        "upward_expansion": 19.74,
        "deceleration": 46.87,
        "rotation_down": 19.39,
        "downward_expansion": 53.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.080667,
        9.905636,
        9.981134,
        10.278491
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 10.13,
    "trend_reference": 10.861749,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.067369,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 11.283104,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.102197,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -21.002298,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.171631,
    "excess_performance": -0.114583,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067369,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089227,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.102197,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002418,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.210023,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10975,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.171631,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.511586,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1732,
      "relative_activity": 0.249798,
      "balance": 0.511586,
      "dry_up": 0.466316,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.042372,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.229083,
      "from_high_reference": -0.379079,
      "from_low_reference": 0.09632
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.861749,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.283104,
      "structural_low": 9.24,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.018954,
        "positive_rate": 0.407407,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.592593,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003521,
        "regime_survival": 0.925926,
        "best_return": 0.24703,
        "worst_return": -0.242236,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.150616,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.109606,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 1.153846,
        "worst_return": -0.401989,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.148296,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.155999,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.682606,
        "worst_return": -0.493506,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.223188,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.211031,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.147771,
        "worst_return": -0.298604,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 11.723346,
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        "relative_strength": -28.791207,
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        "energy": 69.534071,
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        "relative_strength": -31.697782,
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        "direction": -80.086073,
        "energy": 88.200213,
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 11.29364,
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        "relative_strength": -28.396644,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.529611,
        "energy": 59.984575,
        "activity_lines": [
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          10.073033,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 9.92,
        "volume": 9299,
        "typical_volume": 7649.9,
        "trend": 11.188007,
        "fair_value": 11.346141,
        "relative_strength": -25.320063,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.08589,
        "energy": 51.024924,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.724,
          9.739636,
          10.022271,
          10.466723
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.92,
        "volume": 1650,
        "typical_volume": 7721.05,
        "trend": 11.081751,
        "fair_value": 11.325204,
        "relative_strength": -24.668903,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.197888,
        "energy": 36.84159,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.82,
          9.755818,
          9.981257,
          10.384916
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.28,
        "volume": 252,
        "typical_volume": 7718.8,
        "trend": 10.977834,
        "fair_value": 11.302546,
        "relative_strength": -22.975521,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.160498,
        "energy": 24.053964,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.008,
          9.845636,
          9.98401,
          10.33319
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.13,
        "volume": 1732,
        "typical_volume": 6933.6,
        "trend": 10.861749,
        "fair_value": 11.283104,
        "relative_strength": -21.002298,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.283472,
        "energy": 23.343403,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.080667,
          9.905636,
          9.981134,
          10.278491
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}