{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4c33cc27-064f-49f6-8596-835b28c163b2", "symbol": "002829", "name": "Beijing StarNeto Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.322, "architecture_energy": 20.412, "architecture_maturity": 84.899, "architecture_confidence": 80.889, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.75, "rotation_up": 25.47, "upward_expansion": 13.99, "deceleration": 46.86, "rotation_down": 30.04, "downward_expansion": 61.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.147333, 19.668727, 20.688047, 21.670774 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 20.82, "trend_reference": 23.497333, "distance_from_trend": -0.113942, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.269423, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.065086, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.449722, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.252155, "excess_performance": -0.259555, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.113942, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111374, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.065086, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111157, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.174497, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005811, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.252155, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.775195, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52506779, "relative_activity": 1.252525, "balance": 0.775195, "dry_up": 2.317473, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.150299, "annualized_volatility": 0.53283, "from_high_reference": -0.416643, "from_low_reference": 0.30125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.497333, "fair_value_reference": 22.269423, "structural_low": 16.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.044637, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": 0.065931, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.391901, "worst_return": -0.376121, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.006011, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.065197, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.370056, "worst_return": -0.328647, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.288976, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.176527, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.67287, "worst_return": -0.324611, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 37695851.85, "trend": 24.24, "fair_value": 22.439103, "relative_strength": -19.118574, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.429652, "energy": 34.692308, "activity_lines": [ 19.624, 19.77509, 20.973476, 22.177269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.42, "volume": 87452189, "typical_volume": 40573812.6, "trend": 23.850667, "fair_value": 22.340064, "relative_strength": -19.286074, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.620002, "energy": 26.207897, "activity_lines": [ 19.731333, 19.535272, 20.750333, 21.866301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.82, "volume": 52506779, "typical_volume": 41920749.5, "trend": 23.497333, "fair_value": 22.269423, "relative_strength": -17.449722, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.322487, "energy": 20.41195, "activity_lines": [ 20.147333, 19.668727, 20.688047, 21.670774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }