{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4c3d205b-5bd8-4f73-927a-0d6602173eff", "symbol": "LAC", "name": "Lac Gold Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 80.176, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.404, "architecture_energy": 32.918, "architecture_maturity": 21.141, "architecture_confidence": 79.511, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.08, "rotation_up": 20.44, "upward_expansion": 3.61, "deceleration": 50.59, "rotation_down": 49.6, "downward_expansion": 76.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.336667, 0.339, 0.352071, 0.362656 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.35, "trend_reference": 0.377, "distance_from_trend": -0.071618, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.218006, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.605458, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.173353, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.027778, "excess_performance": -0.091483, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.071618, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022604, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.605458, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.295008, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.001734, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.43618, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.027778, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.194889, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1544140, "relative_activity": 1.839939, "balance": 2.194889, "dry_up": 0.812382, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112088, "annualized_volatility": 0.667442, "from_high_reference": -0.333333, "from_low_reference": 1.258065 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.377, "fair_value_reference": 0.218006, "structural_low": 0.3, "invalidation": "A 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.196055, "energy": 62.997193, "activity_lines": [ 0.329, 0.342909, 0.358024, 0.369645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.35, "volume": 589896, "typical_volume": 897360.8, "trend": 0.377833, "fair_value": 0.216987, "relative_strength": 7.804811, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.635773, "energy": 52.615668, "activity_lines": [ 0.334, 0.342091, 0.35631, 0.367849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.325, "volume": 157359, "typical_volume": 818371.1, "trend": 0.377667, "fair_value": 0.217417, "relative_strength": -3.040339, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.24325, "energy": 51.633843, "activity_lines": [ 0.330333, 0.338, 0.352762, 0.364441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.35, "volume": 1544140, "typical_volume": 839234.55, "trend": 0.377, "fair_value": 0.218006, "relative_strength": 0.173353, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.403613, "energy": 32.918074, "activity_lines": [ 0.336667, 0.339, 0.352071, 0.362656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }