{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4c3e5d46-b7a8-42bb-8646-2cad990cb4d5", "symbol": "TRVI", "name": "Trevi Therapeutics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.207, "architecture_energy": 53.113, "architecture_maturity": 50.514, "architecture_confidence": 89.781, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.49, "rotation_up": 60.78, "upward_expansion": 83.65, "deceleration": 63.29, "rotation_down": 21.76, "downward_expansion": 7.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.275667, 17.923455, 16.575143, 15.460452 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 18.51, "trend_reference": 13.975167, "distance_from_trend": 0.324492, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.507564, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.844382, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 31.760258, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.615183, "excess_performance": 0.42773, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.324492, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.136346, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.844382, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.124537, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.317603, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095077, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.615183, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.471958, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9397964, "relative_activity": 1.010765, "balance": 1.471958, "dry_up": 1.286627, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103965, "annualized_volatility": 0.580059, "from_high_reference": -0.08457, "from_low_reference": 1.670996 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.975167, "fair_value_reference": 6.507564, "structural_low": 9.82, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.003311, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.002335, "regime_survival": 0.68, "best_return": 0.406522, "worst_return": -0.32622, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.023748, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.046597, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.590723, "worst_return": -0.487106, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.08336, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.039226, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.003311, "worst_return": -0.504644, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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83.96583, "activity_lines": [ 17.042, 15.863091, 14.756619, 13.883656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 17.84, "volume": 13027575, "typical_volume": 8228791.2, "trend": 13.160667, "fair_value": 6.097212, "relative_strength": 33.5244, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.790762, "energy": 83.54592, "activity_lines": [ 17.6, 16.349091, 15.144952, 14.196452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.07, "volume": 20106675, "typical_volume": 8960229.05, "trend": 13.362667, "fair_value": 6.204391, "relative_strength": 46.604828, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.745929, "energy": 85.993075, "activity_lines": [ 18.267333, 16.986545, 15.616143, 14.577699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.535, "volume": 10623774, "typical_volume": 9114890.4, "trend": 13.518833, "fair_value": 6.302115, "relative_strength": 35.365655, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.877013, "energy": 63.965147, "activity_lines": [ 18.099, 17.261818, 15.907095, 14.846882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.25, "volume": 7723165, "typical_volume": 9188861.2, "trend": 13.730833, "fair_value": 6.404167, "relative_strength": 38.255368, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.290314, "energy": 54.889878, "activity_lines": [ 18.147333, 17.606455, 16.245976, 15.152118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.51, "volume": 9397964, "typical_volume": 9297873.5, "trend": 13.975167, "fair_value": 6.507564, "relative_strength": 31.760258, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.206663, "energy": 53.112615, "activity_lines": [ 18.275667, 17.923455, 16.575143, 15.460452 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }