{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4c5157ff-7cf0-465c-a369-7dc60f63aa26",
    "symbol": "CTQ",
    "name": "Careteq Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 48.501,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 8.818,
    "architecture_energy": 19.09,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.013,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.684,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.09,
        "rotation_up": 16.36,
        "upward_expansion": 46.07,
        "deceleration": 86.99,
        "rotation_down": 39.8,
        "downward_expansion": 28.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.011433,
        0.011873,
        0.012071,
        0.0114
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.0115,
    "trend_reference": 0.010717,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.073095,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.01459,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.211775,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.734979,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.045455,
    "excess_performance": -0.018251,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073095,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06457,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.211775,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00658,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01735,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.225188,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045455,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.67093,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6187487,
      "relative_activity": 1.602419,
      "balance": 1.67093,
      "dry_up": 1.561977,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.103679,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.852002,
      "from_high_reference": -0.178571,
      "from_low_reference": 0.642857
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.010717,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.01459,
      "structural_low": 0.007,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.090909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.066667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.266667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.166667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.090909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.3,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.181818,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.076923,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.045455,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 3501598.8,
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        "fair_value": 0.014911,
        "relative_strength": 1.813829,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 28.183558,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 3940120.6,
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        "fair_value": 0.014792,
        "relative_strength": 11.609283,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.477952,
        "energy": 26.458211,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0118,
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          0.011329
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.011,
        "volume": 4252734,
        "typical_volume": 3551971.25,
        "trend": 0.0107,
        "fair_value": 0.014702,
        "relative_strength": 0.229413,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.595498,
        "energy": 19.053602,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.011467,
          0.012036,
          0.012052,
          0.011348
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.0115,
        "volume": 6187487,
        "typical_volume": 3861340.6,
        "trend": 0.010717,
        "fair_value": 0.01459,
        "relative_strength": 1.734979,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 8.817898,
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        "activity_lines": [
          0.011433,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}