{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4c69eb4c-06ca-444b-99ae-b7cc1361d10c",
    "symbol": "A1LL34",
    "name": "Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.588,
    "architecture_energy": 69.638,
    "architecture_maturity": 76.751,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.763,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.92,
        "rotation_up": 62.04,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 67.13,
        "rotation_down": 25.03,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        118.031002
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 138.460007,
    "trend_reference": 110.447582,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.253626,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 75.069511,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.844424,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 32.532441,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.368738,
    "excess_performance": 0.425787,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.253626,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117305,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.844424,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.28332,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.325324,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.312565,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.368738,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 14.47619,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 956,
      "relative_activity": 1.684136,
      "balance": 14.47619,
      "dry_up": 2.017969,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04658,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.34841,
      "from_high_reference": -0.045103,
      "from_low_reference": 0.927786
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 75.069511,
      "structural_low": 83.363181,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.007997,
        "positive_rate": 0.47619,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.47619,
        "median_excess_return": 0.043618,
        "regime_survival": 0.761905,
        "best_return": 0.25251,
        "worst_return": -0.227427,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.283181,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.013884,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "end": "2024-05-03",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 427.05,
        "trend": 95.433489,
        "fair_value": 67.464019,
        "relative_strength": -0.244383,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 60.5097,
        "energy": 71.231562,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 96.495854,
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        "relative_strength": 1.275944,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 454.15,
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        "relative_strength": 4.271694,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 97.98573,
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        "relative_strength": 5.683935,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 530.05,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 18.984104,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 34.595616,
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        "direction": 94.264009,
        "energy": 97.796537,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 133.559998,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 421.2,
        "trend": 105.867634,
        "fair_value": 72.330738,
        "relative_strength": 28.915737,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 120.769997,
        "volume": 227,
        "typical_volume": 430.45,
        "trend": 106.593378,
        "fair_value": 72.847041,
        "relative_strength": 13.943736,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.09799,
        "energy": 85.581607,
        "activity_lines": [
          129.502663,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 125.970001,
        "volume": 2265,
        "typical_volume": 517.3,
        "trend": 107.430044,
        "fair_value": 73.38451,
        "relative_strength": 21.30975,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.251264,
        "energy": 66.177878,
        "activity_lines": [
          128.011331,
          126.072647,
          118.348567,
          112.906172
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 130.259995,
        "volume": 121,
        "typical_volume": 523.35,
        "trend": 108.260648,
        "fair_value": 73.921809,
        "relative_strength": 24.830844,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.264412,
        "energy": 64.324317,
        "activity_lines": [
          128.157997,
          127.584141,
          120.138471,
          114.379072
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 135.800003,
        "volume": 1240,
        "typical_volume": 558.55,
        "trend": 109.394438,
        "fair_value": 74.4869,
        "relative_strength": 26.89099,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.276077,
        "energy": 65.009076,
        "activity_lines": [
          130.203333,
          129.649271,
          122.268661,
          116.155804
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 138.460007,
        "volume": 956,
        "typical_volume": 567.65,
        "trend": 110.447582,
        "fair_value": 75.069511,
        "relative_strength": 32.532441,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.588425,
        "energy": 69.637803,
        "activity_lines": [
          133.266002,
          131.663454,
          124.450876,
          118.031002
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}