{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4c7c202f-9dba-4e4d-a058-a1cfb91092b1", "symbol": "6750", "name": "Tech-Top Engineering Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 66.011, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -27.276, "architecture_energy": 47.38, "architecture_maturity": 8.191, "architecture_confidence": 66.849, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.47, "rotation_up": 20.5, "upward_expansion": 20.62, "deceleration": 41.24, "rotation_down": 58.38, "downward_expansion": 55.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.006667, 58.022747, 60.229708, 60.675268 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 56.799999, "trend_reference": 59.939991, "distance_from_trend": -0.052386, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.367722, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.561825, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.012305, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.087356, "excess_performance": -0.354016, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.052386, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.124947, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.561825, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.452533, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.210123, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11707, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.087356, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.190033, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 342599, "relative_activity": 0.247164, "balance": 0.190033, "dry_up": 0.281466, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112643, "annualized_volatility": 0.470564, "from_high_reference": -0.228509, "from_low_reference": 0.644439 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.939991, "fair_value_reference": 36.367722, "structural_low": 47.5, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.008065, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.019562, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.048781, "worst_return": -0.034205, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.127016, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.035112, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.307317, "worst_return": -0.052314, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.072581, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.050721, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.697561, "worst_return": -0.062668, "sufficient": false 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62.389074, 62.837411, 61.456222 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 56.900002, "volume": 417971, "typical_volume": 1625771.65, "trend": 58.362125, "fair_value": 35.641997, "relative_strength": -19.73645, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.703432, "energy": 7.847018, "activity_lines": [ 60.145103, 61.253001, 62.243252, 61.397562 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 51.200001, "volume": 476320, "typical_volume": 1568896.8, "trend": 58.725019, "fair_value": 35.859405, "relative_strength": -26.058447, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.662868, "energy": 42.571558, "activity_lines": [ 56.870114, 59.245263, 61.14892, 60.935489 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.200001, "volume": 323691, "typical_volume": 1444745.35, "trend": 59.308416, "fair_value": 36.115823, "relative_strength": -18.66218, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.233513, "energy": 43.014698, "activity_lines": [ 56.326668, 58.595048, 60.680073, 60.837101 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 56.799999, "volume": 342599, "typical_volume": 1386118.95, "trend": 59.939991, "fair_value": 36.367722, "relative_strength": -21.012305, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.276223, "energy": 47.380241, "activity_lines": [ 56.006667, 58.022747, 60.229708, 60.675268 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }