{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4c8d1ab4-00a8-4928-9a2f-a7398af66414", "symbol": "0159", "name": "Brockman Mining Limited", "exchange": "HKG", "country": "HK", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-09-04", "benchmark": "^HSI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -82.8, "architecture_energy": 87.378, "architecture_maturity": 94.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.985, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.21, "rotation_up": 8.41, "upward_expansion": 19.55, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 85.45, "downward_expansion": 97.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.053267, 0.060127, 0.066471, 0.069916 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.047, "trend_reference": 0.074667, "distance_from_trend": -0.370536, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.102333, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.540717, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -45.354631, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.426829, "excess_performance": -0.422698, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.370536, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09275, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.540717, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.25242, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.453546, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.266353, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.426829, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.032034, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6364000, "relative_activity": 1.997599, "balance": 0.032034, "dry_up": 3.079414, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.201309, "annualized_volatility": 0.779627, "from_high_reference": -0.673611, "from_low_reference": 0.119048 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.074667, "fair_value_reference": 0.102333, "structural_low": 0.042, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.022605, "positive_rate": 0.289474, "directional_follow_through": 0.605263, "median_excess_return": 0.001468, "regime_survival": 0.868421, "best_return": 0.26506, "worst_return": -0.338028, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.111111, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.023916, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.118421, "worst_return": -0.311111, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.208497, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.12716, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.430233, "worst_return": -0.323636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.106796, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.031579, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.114943, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "violet", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.041667, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.484211, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.197452, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.165289, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.148515, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-09-04", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.477778, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 0.156, "volume": 21600, "typical_volume": 1049234.0, "trend": 0.156333, "fair_value": 0.200699, "relative_strength": 0.151389, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance 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"activity_lines": [ 0.071133, 0.072945, 0.074105, 0.076114 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 0.06, "volume": 5212144, "typical_volume": 1632637.2, "trend": 0.078333, "fair_value": 0.104365, "relative_strength": -32.810099, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.432433, "energy": 54.134677, "activity_lines": [ 0.0668, 0.070309, 0.072633, 0.074867 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 0.059, "volume": 4261760, "typical_volume": 1730925.2, "trend": 0.077367, "fair_value": 0.103731, "relative_strength": -34.911899, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.454432, "energy": 71.214453, "activity_lines": [ 0.063467, 0.067818, 0.071162, 0.073619 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-28", "close": 0.049, "volume": 23404000, "typical_volume": 2901125.2, "trend": 0.076033, "fair_value": 0.103032, "relative_strength": -43.999501, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.049099, "energy": 83.734734, "activity_lines": [ 0.058, 0.063873, 0.068838, 0.071789 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-04", "close": 0.047, "volume": 6364000, "typical_volume": 3185825.2, "trend": 0.074667, "fair_value": 0.102333, "relative_strength": -45.354631, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.799876, "energy": 87.37835, "activity_lines": [ 0.053267, 0.060127, 0.066471, 0.069916 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }