{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4c90486f-215a-4905-b7a0-cfaa783d6ef3", "symbol": "HCKT", "name": "The Hackett Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.441, "architecture_energy": 26.452, "architecture_maturity": 88.825, "architecture_confidence": 91.328, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.18, "rotation_up": 28.08, "upward_expansion": 16.34, "deceleration": 41.77, "rotation_down": 40.12, "downward_expansion": 66.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.694667, 10.637598, 10.89501, 11.507113 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 11.53, "trend_reference": 12.76548, "distance_from_trend": -0.096783, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.301292, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.458718, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -35.952292, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.280459, "excess_performance": -0.467913, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.096783, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.17954, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.458718, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061335, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.359523, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.174959, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.280459, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.3216, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2376977, "relative_activity": 1.334994, "balance": 1.3216, "dry_up": 1.19953, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117342, "annualized_volatility": 0.624199, "from_high_reference": -0.449714, "from_low_reference": 0.274165 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.76548, "fair_value_reference": 21.301292, "structural_low": 9.04906, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.003778, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.037086, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.237585, "worst_return": -0.145293, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.005234, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.044989, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.188237, "worst_return": -0.337516, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.055277, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.150315, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.476771, "worst_return": -0.419652, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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13.339501, "fair_value": 21.445881, "relative_strength": -44.903634, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.121595, "energy": 46.023777, "activity_lines": [ 10.208, 10.463532, 10.968499, 11.774245 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.72, "volume": 2426216, "typical_volume": 1765543.65, "trend": 13.051048, "fair_value": 21.3732, "relative_strength": -38.343902, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.480377, "energy": 38.333894, "activity_lines": [ 10.297333, 10.474552, 10.886028, 11.605245 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.53, "volume": 2376977, "typical_volume": 1780515.55, "trend": 12.76548, "fair_value": 21.301292, "relative_strength": -35.952292, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.440831, "energy": 26.452436, "activity_lines": [ 10.694667, 10.637598, 10.89501, 11.507113 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }