{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4c95b184-f779-4b7e-bbd8-fc5227a8c726", "symbol": "9594", "name": "Al-Modawat Specialized Medical", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.373, "architecture_energy": 36.646, "architecture_maturity": 29.166, "architecture_confidence": 70.434, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.55, "rotation_up": 61.36, "upward_expansion": 68.31, "deceleration": 55.8, "rotation_down": 14.78, "downward_expansion": 13.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.060692, 4.827027, 4.840883, 4.680182 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 5.4, "trend_reference": 4.557741, "distance_from_trend": 0.184797, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.970457, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.086419, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.850703, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.094648, "excess_performance": 0.126478, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.184797, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00505, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs 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"directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.046525, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.015625, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.21349, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.085389, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.036364, 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5.4498, 5.143885, 4.678395, 4.602345 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 5.215341, "volume": 210045, "typical_volume": 522343.75, "trend": 4.597595, "fair_value": 4.991141, "relative_strength": 1.976586, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.29082, "energy": 60.274855, "activity_lines": [ 5.387368, 5.207249, 4.746182, 4.642363 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 4.279765, "volume": 611627, "typical_volume": 534449.15, "trend": 4.576826, "fair_value": 4.985212, "relative_strength": -14.180375, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.285801, "energy": 21.048751, "activity_lines": [ 5.010817, 5.08316, 4.724465, 4.621858 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 3.871694, "volume": 292366, "typical_volume": 536390.1, "trend": 4.539825, "fair_value": 4.97601, "relative_strength": -20.834542, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.72284, "energy": 14.205378, "activity_lines": [ 4.578282, 4.882819, 4.666996, 4.576366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.150376, "volume": 363544, "typical_volume": 525897.7, "trend": 4.510469, "fair_value": 4.969242, "relative_strength": -14.292946, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.931028, "energy": 27.711175, "activity_lines": [ 4.345885, 4.7387, 4.641075, 4.55124 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.38, "volume": 258835, "typical_volume": 479989.6, "trend": 4.494358, "fair_value": 4.964452, "relative_strength": -8.193515, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.093535, "energy": 30.434064, "activity_lines": [ 4.25943, 4.638624, 4.639235, 4.542823 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.0, "volume": 202308, "typical_volume": 445231.4, "trend": 4.503871, "fair_value": 4.964738, "relative_strength": 4.644374, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 1.03388, "energy": 15.81224, "activity_lines": [ 4.466285, 4.658436, 4.694726, 4.575445 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.25, "volume": 212535, "typical_volume": 406697.1, "trend": 4.522705, "fair_value": 4.96702, "relative_strength": 12.276415, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.609842, "energy": 20.467975, "activity_lines": [ 4.77083, 4.727001, 4.765576, 4.623582 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.4, "volume": 92267, "typical_volume": 405221.1, "trend": 4.557741, "fair_value": 4.970457, "relative_strength": 12.850703, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.373189, "energy": 36.646101, "activity_lines": [ 5.060692, 4.827027, 4.840883, 4.680182 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }